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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mark Daugherty         16    2   18     Gk Niklas Kaiser           8    2   10
Sw Declan Wilson          14    2   16     Sw David Gardner          14    0   14
Df Matty Parsons          13    2   15     Df Arno Christiaens       14    0   14
Df Jannick Schmitz        13    2   15     Df Tivadar Lengyel        14    0   14
Df Oliver Brown           11    2   13     Df Martin Navarro         10    0   10
Mf Jeff Hunter            12    2   14     Df Carlos Rodriguez        8    2   10
Mf Diogo DaSilva          10    2   12     Df Luis Guerrero          11    0   11
Mf Donald Brown            8    2   10     Mf Mika Schmidt           11    0   11
Fw Dennis Honeybun        13   -2   11     Mf Leor Chadad             8    2   10
Fw Ezequiel  Segura       15    1   16     Mf Scott Shaw             13    0   13
Fw Thomas Reilly          10    1   11     Fw Ryan Clemence          15    0   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 43 36 38        ROSTER TOTALS      10 14 59 34 15    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 16 43 36 47         T O T A L S       10 14 59 34 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.58 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.06 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.8 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.43 (no red card)

Df Oliver Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.95 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.58 (no red card)

Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.71 (no red card)

Mf Donald Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.22 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.21 (no red card)

Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.41 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.54 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.94 (no red card)

Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.4 (no red card)

Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.84 (no red card)

Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.83 (no red card)

Df Martin Navarro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.5 (no red card)

Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.72 (no red card)

Df Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.55 (no red card)

Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.1 (no red card)

Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.64 (no red card)

Mf Scott Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.49 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.62 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.16 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.49 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.61 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.16 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.25 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.59 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.14 (no injury) 
Mf Donald Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.88 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.59 (no injury) 
Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.29 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.78 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 22.21 (no injury) 
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.45 (no injury) 
Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.86 (no injury) 
Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.37 (no injury) 
Df Martin Navarro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.37 (no injury) 
Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.35 (no injury) 
Df Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.33 (no injury) 
Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.5 (no injury) 
Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.17 (no injury) 
Mf Scott Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.86 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ezequiel  Segura SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 8

     intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Clemence SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 16

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  16  43  36  47
  Chasetown FC             10  14  59  34  15

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 59)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((36 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 10 ((43 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Oliver Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 39.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Matty Parsons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 63.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Jannick Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Oliver Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Oliver Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 71.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Oliver Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Jannick Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Jannick Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Jannick Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Oliver Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Donald Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             10  14  59  34  15
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  16  43  36  47

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 43)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 4 ((59 - 47) / 3); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Carlos Rodriguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Tivadar Lengyel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Arno Christiaens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Tivadar Lengyel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 2  -  CHASETOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Never going to be easy against Mr.Turner...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/08 - 9:56 PM
Out-thought and out-played....
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/09 - 8:16 PM
My sweeper worked - I wish Forest in U1 had Ilkeston's luck.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 03/09 - 10:18 PM
 
 
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