(H)
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
TONBRIDGE ANGELS HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Diego Forlán 15 2 17 Gk Martin Denis 15 2 17
Df Leo Bergström 14 1 15 Sw Fortunato Torres 9 2 11
Df Clifton Ali 13 2 15 Df Aidan O'Neil 14 2 16
Df Cliff Fawlty 10 2 12 Df Benjamin Newton 14 2 16
Df Earl Kelly 9 2 11 Df Martim Alves 13 2 15
Mf Mateo Philippe 14 2 16 Df Trevor Harewood 5 2 7
Mf Malte Axelsson 13 2 15 Mf Juan Jose Carmona 14 2 16
Mf Barry Evans 16 1 17 Mf Lewis Smith 13 2 15
Fw Paul Millot 14 2 16 Fw Braulio Salas 14 2 16
Fw Joe Evans 14 2 16 Fw Blair Munro 13 2 15
Fw Patrick Reid 13 2 15 Fw John Coppell 16 1 17
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 0 53 48 47 ROSTER TOTALS 17 11 54 31 48
2 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 4 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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19 0 53 52 52 T O T A L S 20 11 54 31 48
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 2
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 27.26 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 23.2 (no red card)
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 61.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.36 (no red card)
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 68.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.51 (no red card)
Df Cliff Fawlty: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.02 (no red card)
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 77.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.38 (no red card)
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.56 (no red card)
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.44 (no red card)
Mf Barry Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.04 (no red card)
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.52 (no red card)
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.53 (no red card)
Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.04 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.87 (no second yellow)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.49 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.01 (no red card)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.12 (no red card)
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.66 (no red card)
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.77 (no red card)
Df Martim Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.06 (no red card)
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.55 (no red card)
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.11 (no red card)
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.3 (no red card)
Fw Braulio Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.73 (no red card)
Fw Blair Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.15 (no red card)
Fw John Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.97 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 85.9 (no injury)
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.87 (no injury)
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.6 (no injury)
Df Cliff Fawlty: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 17.35 (no injury)
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 17.34 (no injury)
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 36.27 (no injury)
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.49 (no injury)
Mf Barry Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.37 (no injury)
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 19.57 (no injury)
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.1 (no injury)
Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.36 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 86.11 (no injury)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.81 (no injury)
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.74 (no injury)
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.25 (no injury)
Df Martim Alves: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.02 (no injury)
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.2 (no injury)
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.35 (no injury)
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.73 (no injury)
Fw Braulio Salas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.73 (no injury)
Fw Blair Munro: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.9 (no injury)
Fw John Coppell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.25 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Barry Evans SL 16
- Defending Gk: Martin Denis SL 15
intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: John Coppell SL 16
- Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 32 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 19 0 53 52 52
Harrogate Railway AFC 20 11 54 31 48
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (52 - 54)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 11 ((52 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 1 ((53 - 48) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 31.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 83.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 9.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 20 11 54 31 48
Tonbridge Angels 19 0 53 52 52
Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (48 - 53)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 52) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((54 - 52) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 61.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
Match Notes
Al’s top of the table Harrogate come to visit.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/21 - 11:35 PM
We are looking for a big loss here. We want no part of promotion.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/22 - 10:57 PM
Up the Beavers
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/23 - 1:51 PM
Really BAD news, Al. HAR has just been promoted.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/24 - 10:24 AM
Not sure how we managed to lose.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/29 - 9:27 PM