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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Halifax Town AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    HALIFAX TOWN AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Frank Stephens         15    2   17     Gk Florian De Vos          9    2   11
Sw Sylar Mack             16    2   18     Sw Abel Ríos              15    2   17
Df Bailey Dowson          13    2   15     Df Mark Shaw              14    2   16
Df Steven Gascoigne        9    2   11     Df Daniel Müller          13    2   15
Df Melvin Bergman          5    2    7     Df Joseph Allison          9    2   11
Mf Theo Cleverley         14    2   16     Df George Brown            5    2    7
Mf Jay Davies             14    1   15     Mf Michael Reilly         13    2   15
Mf Mason Whiteside         9    2   11     Mf Carrington Brudenell   13    1   14
Fw Blair Docherty         16    2   18     Mf Gareth Gascoigne        5    2    7
Fw Lawrence Clark         15    2   17     Fw Gabriel Lee            16    2   18
Fw Baron Marshall          9    2   11     Fw Joe Lennon              9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 18 33 42 46        ROSTER TOTALS      11 17 49 36 29    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 18 33 42 55         T O T A L S       14 17 56 36 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.02 (no red card)

Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.0 (no red card)

Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.01 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.84 (no red card)

Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.97 (no red card)

Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.89 (no red card)

Mf Jay Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.07 (no red card)

Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.7 (no red card)

Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.77 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.46 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.67 (no red card)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 98.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 93.99 (no red card)

Sw Abel Ríos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.83 (no red card)

Df Mark Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.06 (no red card)

Df Daniel Müller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.66 (no red card)

Df Joseph Allison: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.29 (no red card)

Df George Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.99 (no red card)

Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.4 (no second yellow)

Mf Carrington Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.49 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.4 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.52 (no red card)

Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 67.61 (no injury) 
Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.26 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.54 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.48 (no injury) 
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.4 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.32 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Davies: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.53 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.66 (no injury) 
Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.03 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.48 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.49 (no injury) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 46.2 (no injury) 
Sw Abel Ríos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Abel Ríos is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Mark Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.82 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Müller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.9 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Allison: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.79 (no injury) 
Df George Brown: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.4 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.19 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.32 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.43 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Lee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.4 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.24 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Blair Docherty SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Lee SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Frank Stephens SL 15

     intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  20  18  33  42  55
  Halifax Town AFC         14  17  56  36  29

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (55 - 56)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 3 ((42 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 2 ((33 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jay Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jay Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Mason Whiteside
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 47.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Halifax Town AFC         14  17  56  36  29
  FC United of Manchester  20  18  33  42  55

Halifax Town AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 33)
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((56 - 55) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Daniel Müller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0  -  HALIFAX TOWN AFC 0
 
Match Notes
A little luck and a win here and Vick could still be pushing for promotion. Hoping we can play spoiler in this one
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/22 - 10:12 PM
promotion or relegation. we now have our money on the latter
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 03/23 - 12:15 PM
Fair result. Pushes us further into relegation chances than Halifax. So at least Vick has that going for him!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/25 - 7:19 PM
 
 
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