(H)
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
MARINE FC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Joe Cameron 9 1 10 Gk Maximilian Isaksson 14 2 16
Df Finlay Cooke 10 1 11 Sw Lewis Tufnel 9 0 9
Df Tyler Reynolds 9 0 9 Df Graham Sansom 12 0 12
Df Jelle Beckers 9 0 9 Df Patrick Hopkins 10 0 10
Df Tihamér Pap 6 2 8 Df Ellis Fisher 7 2 9
Mf Glenn Ellis 10 0 10 Mf Daniel James 13 2 15
Mf Bailey Hills 9 2 11 Mf Luca Cole 11 0 11
Mf Andrea Marino 6 2 8 Mf Juan Fernández 9 0 9
Fw Cristobal Saez 11 1 12 Fw Alf Abrahamsen 14 2 16
Fw Tony Murray 10 1 11 Fw Adam Shaw 12 0 12
Fw Lucas Le gal 8 1 9 Fw Claudio Gentile 11 0 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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10 0 37 29 32 ROSTER TOTALS 16 9 31 35 39
0 0 3 0 3 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 7
0 0 3 3 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 7
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
10 0 43 32 38 T O T A L S 16 9 31 35 53
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 6
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.8 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.77 (no red card)
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 94.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 91.88 (no red card)
Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 87.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 94.74 (no red card)
Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 9.9 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 54.85 (no second yellow)
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 34.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 41.14 (no red card)
Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 51.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 25.03 (no red card)
Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 87.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 8.46 (no red card)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 8.06 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 88.74 (no second yellow)
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 33.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 89.66 (no red card)
Fw Tony Murray: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 24.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 19.01 (no red card)
Fw Lucas Le gal: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 51.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 2.53 (no red card)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 7
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.98 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.05 (no red card)
Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 27.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 38.65 (no red card)
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 76.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 36.89 (no red card)
Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 8.94 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 75.61 (no second yellow)
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 86.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 96.45 (no red card)
Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 57.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 27.39 (no red card)
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 76.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 18.01 (no red card)
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 24.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 84.57 (no red card)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 14.27 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 87.98 (no second yellow)
Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 58.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 50.15 (no red card)
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 51.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 32.68 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 7
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 9.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 4.62%
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of injury = 4.62% | Random number = 58.52 (no injury)
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 79.81 (no injury)
Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 38.45 (no injury)
Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 38.75 (no injury)
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 99.96 (no injury)
Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 55.9 (no injury)
Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 82.67 (no injury)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 96.57 (no injury)
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 75.94 (no injury)
Fw Tony Murray: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 47.95 (no injury)
Fw Lucas Le gal: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 33.14 (no injury)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 7
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 8.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 4.37%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 4.37% | Random number = 12.55 (no injury)
Sw Lewis Tufnel: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 82.09 (no injury)
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 74.07 (no injury)
Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 53.26 (no injury)
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 56.41 (no injury)
Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 46.62 (no injury)
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 55.73 (no injury)
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 81.81 (no injury)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 57.86 (no injury)
Fw Adam Shaw: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 36.48 (no injury)
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 20.5 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 7; (7 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Cristobal Saez SL 11
- Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Alf Abrahamsen SL 14
- Defending Gk: Joe Cameron SL 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Marine FC 10 0 43 32 38
Forest Green Rovers FC 16 9 31 35 53
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 7 (38 - 31); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 35) / 2; rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 53) / 5; rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Tony Murray
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Tony Murray
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Lucas Le gal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Tony Murray
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Lucas Le gal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 84.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Tony Murray
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 16 9 31 35 53
Marine FC 10 0 43 32 38
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 10 (53 - 43); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((35 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 38) / 3; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Mf Luca Cole
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 72.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Juan Fernández
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 77.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 28.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 18.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 25.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Adam Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Claudio Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 98.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
MARINE FC 1 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 4
Match Notes
away from home so tricky, but we will put a strong a team out as we can
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/18 - 9:43 PM
10 defeats in a r ow remember....
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/30 - 1:05 PM
4 goals was a surprise
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/30 - 1:05 PM
almost a clean sheet as well. almost
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/30 - 1:05 PM