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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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(H)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           16    2   18     Gk José Fita              16    2   18
Df Douglas Pereira        13    2   15     Sw Joshua Burroughs       16    0   16
Df Jake McDonald          17    2   19     Df Maximillian Beerman    14    2   16
Df Louie Ince             15    2   17     Df Harry Thwaite          13    2   15
Df Morgan Barmby          17    2   19     Mf Giles Dixon            11    2   13
Fw Eoghan Carroll         15    2   17     Mf Bernd Kaiser            9    2   11
Mf Leon Baumann           16    2   18     Fw Ruben Diez             16    2   18
Mf Nicholas Clark         12    2   14     Fw Tobias Walter          15    1   16
Fw Gordon Andrews         13    2   15     Fw Dong-Sun  Jang         17    2   19
Fw Ashley Reynolds        13    2   15     Fw Freddie Rees           10    2   12
Fw Lorenzo Santana         9    2   11     Fw Ollie O'Brien           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 70 32 58        ROSTER TOTALS      18 16 31 24 72    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 72 32 65         T O T A L S       21 18 31 24 72    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 79.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 75.18 (no red card)

Df Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.5 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.98 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.91 (no second yellow)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.05 (no red card)

Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.9 (no red card)

Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.57 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.71 (no red card)

Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.66 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.67 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.28 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.77 (no red card)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk José Fita: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.35 (no red card)

Sw Joshua Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.75 (no red card)

Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.24 (no red card)

Df Harry Thwaite: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.28 (no red card)

Mf Giles Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.72 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.49 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.99 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.79 (no red card)

Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.87 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.16 (no red card)

Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 20.97 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.52 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.11 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.51 (no injury) 
Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.08 (no injury) 
Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.41 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.54 (no injury) 
Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.79 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.16 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.61 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.18 (no injury) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk José Fita: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 90.2 (no injury) 
Sw Joshua Burroughs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.2 (no injury) 
Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.49 (no injury) 
Df Harry Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.27 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.13 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.56 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.23 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.36 (no injury) 
Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.27 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.38 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.91 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jake McDonald SL 17
   - Defending Gk: José Fita SL 16

     intRndPk = 5
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 38 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dong-Sun  Jang SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        19   0  72  32  65
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       21  18  31  24  72

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 34 (65 - 31); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((32 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((72 - 72) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 38

1: Attack for Mf Nicholas Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Nicholas Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 86.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 70.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 72.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 10.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 95.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 43.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
36: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       21  18  31  24  72
  Welling United FC        19   0  72  32  65

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 0 (72 - 72)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 2  -  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 0
 
Match Notes
Shepshed have a big influence on the title race here and in the first game this session as they are playing the top two.
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 03/28 - 12:17 PM
Unfortunately I think it will be over by this match
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/30 - 5:17 PM
Amazing season Ed. A joy to follow your progress this season
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 04/01 - 6:19 PM
Fantastic season Eduard. I doff my cap
Carl (Hyde FC) 04/02 - 9:43 AM
Congratulations Eduard. A fantastic season doing the double.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 04/02 - 1:51 PM
Congratulations on winning the league, Eduardo.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 04/06 - 1:52 PM
I mean Eduard, of course. Stupid autocorrect.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 04/06 - 1:53 PM
 
 
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