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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Diego Forlán           15    2   17     Gk Mark Daugherty         16    2   18
Df Algenon Webster        15    2   17     Sw Declan Wilson          15    2   17
Df Leo Bergström          14    2   16     Df Matty Parsons          15   -1   14
Df Clifton Ali            13    2   15     Df Jannick Schmitz        14    2   16
Df Sean Callahan           5    2    7     Df Oliver Brown           11    2   13
Mf Mateo Philippe         15    2   17     Mf Jeff Hunter            12    2   14
Mf Malte Axelsson         13    2   15     Mf Diogo DaSilva          11    2   13
Mf Barry Evans            16    2   18     Fw Dennis Honeybun        15    0   15
Fw Paul Millot            15    2   17     Fw Luca König             15    1   16
Fw Joe Evans              14    2   16     Fw Ezequiel  Segura       15    1   16
Fw Liam Thwaite            9    2   11     Fw Kai Burke              10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 55 50 44        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 43 27 59    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 55 52 51         T O T A L S       18 17 43 27 59    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 79.64 (no red card)

Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.34 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.14 (no red card)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 68.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.3 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.71 (no red card)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.65 (no red card)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.07 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.33 (no second yellow)

Mf Barry Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.57 (no red card)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.03 (no red card)

Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.47 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.32 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.07 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.83 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.66 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.04 (no red card)

Df Oliver Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.4 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Oliver Brown new match skill level =  6
      Oliver Brown new match total level =  8

Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.29 (no red card)

Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.88 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.18 (no red card)

Fw Luca König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.67 (no red card)

Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.79 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 96.39 (no injury) 
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.58 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.84 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 48.05 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.35 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.92 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.48 (no injury) 
Mf Barry Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.21 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Barry Evans is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.12 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.18 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.28 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 24.49 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.89 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.44 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.11 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Brown: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.61 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.42 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.1 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.51 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Dennis Honeybun is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Dennis Honeybun new match skill level =  8
      Dennis Honeybun new match total level =  8
Fw Luca König: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.7 (no injury) 
Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.7 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.03 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Barry Evans SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 16

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Matty Parsons SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         19   0  55  52  51
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  38  27  52

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 13 (51 - 38); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 13 ((52 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 1 ((55 - 52) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Leo Bergström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  38  27  52
  Tonbridge Angels         19   0  55  52  51

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (52 - 55)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 52) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
The final match and we may be relegated.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/29 - 9:35 PM
The injury and red card didn't exactly help but we were well beaten anyway.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 03/30 - 7:33 PM
This result keeps us up.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 04/01 - 10:32 PM
 
 
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