(N)
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Frank Stephens 13 2 15 Gk Jay Hussain 13 1 14 Sw Sylar Mack 14 1 15 Df Luca Lorimar 13 1 14 Df Mohamed Navarro 13 0 13 Df Pablo Arboleda 10 1 11 Df Bailey Dowson 10 1 11 Df Andy Freeman 5 1 6 Df Steven Gascoigne 6 1 7 Mf Noah Young 13 1 14 Mf Theo Cleverley 10 0 10 Mf William Carney 10 1 11 Mf Jermaine Clemence 9 1 10 Mf Cristiano Fernandes 8 0 8 Mf Joel Richards 2 2 4 Mf Owen Roberts 6 2 8 Fw Blair Docherty 14 1 15 Mf Lewis Coppell 2 2 4 Fw Lawrence Clark 10 1 11 Fw Kenneth Anderson 10 0 10 Fw Baron Marshall 6 2 8 Fw Agustin Martínez 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 15 31 24 34 ROSTER TOTALS 14 0 31 45 18 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 15 31 24 34 T O T A L S 14 0 31 45 18 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.62 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.12 (no red card) Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.24 (no red card) Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.34 (no red card) Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.32 (no red card) Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.24 (no red card) Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.56 (no red card) Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.57 (no red card) Mf Joel Richards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.04 (no red card) Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.99 (no red card) Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.79 (no red card) Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.32 (no red card) ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.24 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.79 (no red card) Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.53 (no red card) Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.26 (no red card) Df Andy Freeman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.56 (no red card) Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.03 (no red card) Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.51 (no red card) Mf Cristiano Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.21 (no red card) Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.48 (no red card) Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.99 (no red card) Fw Kenneth Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.83 (no red card) Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.36 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 28.93 (no injury) Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.28 (no injury) Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.05 (no injury) Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.35 (no injury) Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.39 (no injury) Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.92 (no injury) Mf Jermaine Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.39 (no injury) Mf Joel Richards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.92 (no injury) Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.0 (no injury) Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.46 (no injury) Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.61 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Baron Marshall is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Baron Marshall new match skill level = 3 Baron Marshall new match total level = 5 ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0 - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.5 (no injury) Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.27 (no injury) Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.38 (no injury) Df Andy Freeman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.62 (no injury) Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.74 (no injury) Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.47 (no injury) Mf Cristiano Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.59 (no injury) Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.16 (no injury) Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.8 (no injury) Fw Kenneth Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.24 (no injury) Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.1 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Blair Docherty SL 14 - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 13 intRndPk = 35 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Luca Lorimar SL 13 - Defending Gk: Frank Stephens SL 13 intRndPk = 1 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 68 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- FC United of Manchester 15 15 31 24 31 Swindon Supermarine FC 14 0 31 45 18 Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap! FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 31) FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 45) / 2; rounded up) FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 5 ((31 - 18) / 3); result rounded up FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Df Bailey Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Mohamed Navarro Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 18.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Mohamed Navarro Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Df Bailey Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 91.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swindon Supermarine FC 14 0 31 45 18 FC United of Manchester 15 15 31 24 31 Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 31) Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((45 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 31) / 5; rounded up) Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Mf Cristiano Fernandes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 34.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Cristiano Fernandes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Cristiano Fernandes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 24.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Mf Cristiano Fernandes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1 - SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1
Match Notes
Winner advances, loser is done. Draw favors FCU. We know where we’re aiming
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 01/30 - 4:24 PM
This match is the highlight of the round.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/03 - 2:39 AM
Never bet against Kevin Martin on Saturday afternoon...
Phil (AFC Fylde) 02/03 - 5:24 AM