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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan Foster           13    0   13     Gk Mark Daugherty         13    0   13
Sw Ben East               12    0   12     Sw Bryan Shrimpton        12    0   12
Df Fabian Schulz          15    0   15     Df Jannick Schmitz        13    0   13
Df Logan Peters           12    0   12     Df Oliver Brown           11    0   11
Df Harvey Marshall        10    0   10     Df Matty Parsons          10    0   10
Mf Ethan Peters           12    0   12     Mf Jeff Hunter            12    0   12
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon         10    0   10     Mf Nicolás Cardozo         9    0    9
Mf Cameron Hill            5    2    7     Fw Ezequiel  Segura       15    0   15
Fw Kerecsen Deák          10    0   10     Fw Dennis Honeybun        10    0   10
Fw Tom Bell               10    0   10     Fw Thomas Reilly          10    0   10
Fw William Johnson         5    2    7     Fw John Davis             10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 12 37 29 27        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 34 21 45    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 12 37 32 33         T O T A L S       13 12 34 21 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.01 (no red card)

Sw Ben East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.57 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.89 (no red card)

Df Logan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.12 (no red card)

Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.05 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.4 (no red card)

Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.58 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.87 (no red card)

Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.03 (no red card)

Fw Tom Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.04 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.86 (no second yellow)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.79 (no red card)

Sw Bryan Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.68 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.57 (no red card)

Df Oliver Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.16 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.44 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.72 (no red card)

Mf Nicolás Cardozo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.36 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Nicolás Cardozo new match skill level =  5
      Nicolás Cardozo new match total level =  5

Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.95 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.18 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.27 (no second yellow)

Fw John Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 34.07 (no injury) 
Sw Ben East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.75 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.34 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Fabian Schulz is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Logan Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.37 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.47 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.8 (no injury) 
Mf Jung Hee  Kwon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.35 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.13 (no injury) 
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.09 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.88 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.21 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.58 (no injury) 
Sw Bryan Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.95 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.23 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.44 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.33 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.98 (no injury) 
Mf Nicolás Cardozo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.43 (no injury) 
Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.55 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.71 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.51 (no injury) 
Fw John Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 13

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ezequiel  Segura SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 13

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            13  12  37  32  33
  Ilkeston Town FC         13  12  34  17  45

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 34)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((32 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Ethan Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ethan Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Ethan Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jung Hee  Kwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Jung Hee  Kwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jung Hee  Kwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 5.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         13  12  34  17  45
  Luton Town FC            13  12  37  32  33

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (45 - 37); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((34 - 33) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Oliver Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw John Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Thomas Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Thomas Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw John Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 1  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
I knew we were in trouble when we had 7 attacks by half time.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 01/27 - 9:32 PM
Sweepers on top
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 01/27 - 9:33 PM
Squeaked this one out, very happy to advance!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/03 - 5:18 PM
 
 
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