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Friday, April 26th, 2024 - 08:09:43 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 37 // Landing
 
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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Diego Forlán           14    2   16     Gk Frank Stephens         14    2   16
Sw Trevor Wallace          6    2    8     Sw Sylar Mack             15    2   17
Df Clifton Ali            13    2   15     Df Mohamed Navarro        13    0   13
Df Leo Bergström          11    1   12     Df Bailey Dowson          10    1   11
Df Earl Kelly              6    2    8     Df Liam Fortune-West       8    1    9
Mf Malte Axelsson         13    1   14     Mf Jay Davies             14    0   14
Mf Barry Evans            16    1   17     Mf Mason Whiteside         6    2    8
Mf Joe Barrett             6    2    8     Fw Blair Docherty         14    2   16
Fw Joe Evans              14    2   16     Fw Arthur Whelan          13    0   13
Fw Patrick Reid           13    1   14     Fw Lawrence Clark         10    2   12
Fw Liam Thwaite            6    2    8     Fw Baron Marshall          6    1    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  8 35 39 38        ROSTER TOTALS      16 17 33 22 48    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  3  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  2  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 10 38 42 41         T O T A L S       16 17 33 22 48    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 52.88 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 77.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.86 (no red card)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 32.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.48 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.02 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.76 (no red card)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 61.48 (no red card)

Mf Barry Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.3 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.89 (no red card)

Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.62 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.76 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 50.32 (no red card)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.25 (no red card)

Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.99 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.94 (no red card)

Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.22 (no red card)

Df Liam Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.68 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Liam Fortune-West new match skill level =  4
      Liam Fortune-West new match total level =  5

Mf Jay Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.58 (no red card)

Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.02 (no red card)

Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.09 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.69 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.26 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 13.73 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 60.12 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.34 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.7 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.07 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.31 (no injury) 
Mf Barry Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.59 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.45 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.71 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Reid: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.04 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Liam Thwaite is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Liam Thwaite new match skill level =  3
      Liam Thwaite new match total level =  5

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Frank Stephens: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 45.3 (no injury) 
Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.94 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Navarro: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.28 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.55 (no injury) 
Df Liam Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.39 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Davies: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.58 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Whiteside: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.33 (no injury) 
Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.26 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.63 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.44 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.99 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Barry Evans SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Frank Stephens SL 14

     intRndPk = 23
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jay Davies SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 80 (pk blocked)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         18  10  38  42  38
  FC United of Manchester  16  17  29  22  48

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 9 (38 - 29); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 10 ((42 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 75.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Barry Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 35.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 72.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Patrick Reid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  16  17  29  22  48
  Tonbridge Angels         18  10  38  42  38

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 10 (48 - 38); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1
 
Match Notes
Two division two teams line up against one another. At least we have home advantage. Let’s hope we make it count.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/08 - 5:33 PM
Thought we were done when our PK got blocked. Good match, Andy, probably deserved a draw
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/12 - 11:07 PM
A game we shouldn’t have lost but still managed to. Good luck next round Kevin.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/15 - 4:09 PM
 
 
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