(H)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS WELLING UNITED FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Gordon Wilkins 15 1 16 Gk Euan Fleming 15 2 17
Sw Diego Azevedo 11 0 11 Sw Douglas Pereira 12 2 14
Df Simon Charlton 13 1 14 Df Benjamin Charlton 13 2 15
Df Charles Clarke 11 2 13 Df Morgan Barmby 17 2 19
Df Lucas Soramaki 6 2 8 Mf Nicholas Clark 12 1 13
Mf Thomas Thomsen 11 0 11 Mf Josè Guerrero 6 2 8
Mf Ashton Ali 10 2 12 Fw Gordon Andrews 13 2 15
Fw Angus Williamson 13 2 15 Fw Ashley Reynolds 13 2 15
Fw Harvey Davis 14 1 15 Fw Luca Ferguson 9 0 9
Fw Giorgio Grasso 10 2 12 Fw Lorenzo Santana 6 2 8
Fw Giles Lee 10 2 12 Fw Greg Scott 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 11 35 23 54 ROSTER TOTALS 17 14 34 21 55
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
19 11 35 23 63 T O T A L S 18 14 34 21 55
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.18 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.63 (no red card)
Sw Diego Azevedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.4 (no red card)
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.36 (no red card)
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.53 (no red card)
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.59 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.9 (no red card)
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.19 (no red card)
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.04 (no red card)
Fw Harvey Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.73 (no red card)
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.77 (no red card)
Fw Giles Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.72 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Giles Lee new match skill level = 5
Giles Lee new match total level = 7
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 24.17 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 71.49 (no red card)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.75 (no red card)
Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.22 (no red card)
Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.35 (no red card)
Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.27 (no red card)
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.11 (no red card)
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.73 (no red card)
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.1 (no red card)
Fw Luca Ferguson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.89 (no red card)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.69 (no red card)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.48 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 44.36 (no injury)
Sw Diego Azevedo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.3 (no injury)
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.99 (no injury)
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.6 (no injury)
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.44 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.35 (no injury)
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.35 (no injury)
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.96 (no injury)
Fw Harvey Davis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.68 (no injury)
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.96 (no injury)
Fw Giles Lee: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.58 (no injury)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 88.52 (no injury)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.94 (no injury)
Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.93 (no injury)
Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.71 (no injury)
Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.04 (no injury)
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.59 (no injury)
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.47 (no injury)
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.63 (no injury)
Fw Luca Ferguson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.31 (no injury)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.98 (no injury)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.21 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Harvey Davis SL 14
- Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Morgan Barmby SL 17
- Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 15
intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 19 11 35 23 58
Welling United FC 18 14 34 21 55
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 24 (58 - 34); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 55) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 7.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Giles Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Harvey Davis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 18 14 34 21 55
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 19 11 35 23 58
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 20 (55 - 35); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 27.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 44.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 17.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 87.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 0.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 76.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 33.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Luca Ferguson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1 - WELLING UNITED FC 1
Match Notes
WEL has lost every single FA Cup match vs RUS
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/05 - 5:31 PM
This ends the session from hell, Welling twice. But at least we get to sleep in our own beds to recover from the beat down
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/10 - 7:32 PM
Wellp, that was our best chance
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/10 - 9:45 PM
"Hell" wasn't this bad, wasn't it?
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/10 - 10:03 PM