(H)
Burton Albion FC
James White
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
FA Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BURTON ALBION FC LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk James Fitzgerald 16 2 18 Gk Dylan Foster 16 2 18
Sw Harrison Johnson 14 2 16 Sw Ben East 12 2 14
Df Julian Richter 13 2 15 Df Fabian Schulz 16 1 17
Df Liam Byrne 12 2 14 Df Logan Peters 12 0 12
Mf Oliver Wagner 13 2 15 Df Harvey Marshall 10 2 12
Mf Hyun Ki Son 12 2 14 Mf Ethan Peters 12 2 14
Fw Jens Christensen 13 1 14 Mf Harrison McBrayne 11 2 13
Fw Patrick Compton 12 1 13 Mf Jung Hee Kwon 11 2 13
Fw Daniel Fernandez 12 0 12 Fw Kerecsen Deák 12 2 14
Fw Erik Nygård 11 1 12 Fw Tom Bell 10 1 11
Fw Sam Bunyan 10 1 11 Fw Charlie Boyle 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 16 29 29 62 ROSTER TOTALS 18 14 41 40 37
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 0 3
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 16 29 29 71 T O T A L S 21 17 41 40 40
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk James Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.77 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.93 (no red card)
Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.26 (no red card)
Df Julian Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.67 (no red card)
Df Liam Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.51 (no red card)
Mf Oliver Wagner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.8 (no red card)
Mf Hyun Ki Son: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.08 (no red card)
Fw Jens Christensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.0 (no red card)
Fw Patrick Compton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.65 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.17 (no second yellow)
Fw Daniel Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.08 (no red card)
Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.56 (no red card)
Fw Sam Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.82 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.44 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.83 (no red card)
Sw Ben East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.2 (no red card)
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.04 (no red card)
Df Logan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.16 (no red card)
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.41 (no red card)
Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.34 (no red card)
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.21 (no red card)
Mf Jung Hee Kwon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.78 (no red card)
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.33 (no red card)
Fw Tom Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.18 (no red card)
Fw Charlie Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.64 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.92 (no injury)
Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.41 (no injury)
Df Julian Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.74 (no injury)
Df Liam Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.52 (no injury)
Mf Oliver Wagner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.52 (no injury)
Mf Hyun Ki Son: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.46 (no injury)
Fw Jens Christensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.33 (no injury)
Fw Patrick Compton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.77 (no injury)
Fw Daniel Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.61 (no injury)
Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.51 (no injury)
Fw Sam Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.16 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.62 (no injury)
Sw Ben East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.68 (no injury)
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.91 (no injury)
Df Logan Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.78 (no injury)
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.92 (no injury)
Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.94 (no injury)
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.31 (no injury)
Mf Jung Hee Kwon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.37 (no injury)
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.89 (no injury)
Fw Tom Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.95 (no injury)
Fw Charlie Boyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.59 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Julian Richter SL 13
- Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 16
intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 16
- Defending Gk: James Fitzgerald SL 16
intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Burton Albion FC 18 16 29 29 71
Luton Town FC 21 17 41 40 40
Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 30 (71 - 41); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 40) / 2; rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 40) / 3; rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 30
1: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 16.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Sam Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 49.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 29.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Sam Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Sam Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Daniel Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Daniel Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 9.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 57.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 10.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Daniel Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 42.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 72.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Daniel Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Patrick Compton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Sam Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 21 17 41 40 40
Burton Albion FC 18 16 29 29 71
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 11 (40 - 29); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((40 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 71) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 52.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Jung Hee Kwon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Jung Hee Kwon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Ethan Peters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Tom Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 95.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Charlie Boyle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BURTON ALBION FC 0 - LUTON TOWN FC 3
Match Notes
First ever FA Cup meeting in an otherwise very storied rivalry, hard to believe.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/24 - 6:33 PM
A lot of luck was on our side here for sure, happy to advance.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/24 - 8:39 PM