(N)
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC AFC WIMBLEDON
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jay Hussain 16 2 18 Gk Kenzie Ross 18 2 20
Df Seiichi Tanaka 10 1 11 Df Aarron Lowe 8 2 10
Df Thomas McIntyre 9 2 11 Df Louis Butler 9 2 11
Df Mason Shaw 4 2 6 Df Luke Jackson 4 2 6
Mf William Carney 14 2 16 Mf Oliver Johnstone 9 2 11
Mf Owen Roberts 9 2 11 Mf George Brudenell 6 2 8
Mf Mons Nygård 8 -2 6 Mf Henning Pedersen 4 2 6
Mf Ryan White 4 2 6 Fw Paul Ellis 15 1 16
Mf Lewis Coppell 4 2 6 Fw Bradley McCarthy 15 2 17
Fw Agustin Martínez 9 2 11 Mf Isaac Howells 7 2 9
Fw Jermaine Bennett 4 2 6 Mf Marty Allen 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 0 28 45 17 ROSTER TOTALS 20 0 27 42 33
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 7 1 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 0 28 52 18 T O T A L S 23 0 27 42 33
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.41 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.64 (no red card)
Df Seiichi Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.85 (no red card)
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.01 (no red card)
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.15 (no red card)
Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.59 (no red card)
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.9 (no red card)
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.91 (no red card)
Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.44 (no red card)
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.54 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.44 (no red card)
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.43 (no red card)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.22 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 19.44 (no red card)
Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.21 (no red card)
Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.28 (no red card)
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.73 (no red card)
Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.67 (no red card)
Mf George Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.38 (no red card)
Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.76 (no red card)
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.04 (no red card)
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.27 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.38 (no red card)
Mf Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 60.78 (no injury)
Df Seiichi Tanaka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.7 (no injury)
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.93 (no injury)
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.96 (no injury)
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.16 (no injury)
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.15 (no injury)
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.0 (no injury)
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.08 (no injury)
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.34 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.5 (no injury)
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.14 (no injury)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 94.68 (no injury)
Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.76 (no injury)
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.55 (no injury)
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.11 (no injury)
Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.99 (no injury)
Mf George Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.92 (no injury)
Mf Henning Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.05 (no injury)
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.28 (no injury)
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.19 (no injury)
Mf Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.95 (no injury)
Mf Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.62 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: William Carney SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Paul Ellis SL 15
- Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 16
intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Supermarine FC 20 0 28 52 18
AFC Wimbledon 23 0 27 42 33
AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 27)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((52 - 42) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 33) / 5; rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 90.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 83.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 48.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Ryan White
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 27.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 16.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 89.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Ryan White
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 6.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf William Carney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 59.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Wimbledon 23 0 27 42 33
Swindon Supermarine FC 20 0 28 52 18
Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 3 (33 - 28) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 52) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 2 ((27 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Df Aarron Lowe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 57.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Louis Butler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 9.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 68.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
E N D O F R E G U L A T I O N
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0 - AFC WIMBLEDON 0
===============================================
===============================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S H O O T O U T
===============================================
- Swindon Supermarine FC Gk (Home): Jay Hussain SL 16
- AFC Wimbledon Gk (Away): Kenzie Ross SL 18
************ ROUND 1 ************
Round 1: Jay Hussain (SWI) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 35 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 1 : WIM - 0)
Round 1: Kenzie Ross (WIM) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 1 : WIM - 1)
************ ROUND 2 ************
Round 2: William Carney (SWI) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 24 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 2 : WIM - 1)
Round 2: Paul Ellis (WIM) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 2 : WIM - 2)
************ ROUND 3 ************
Round 3: Seiichi Tanaka (SWI) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 82 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SWI - 2 : WIM - 2)
Round 3: Bradley McCarthy (WIM) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 57 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 2 : WIM - 3)
************ ROUND 4 ************
Round 4: Thomas McIntyre (SWI) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 48 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 3 : WIM - 3)
Round 4: Louis Butler (WIM) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 26 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 3 : WIM - 4)
************ ROUND 5 ************
Round 5: Owen Roberts (SWI) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 85 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SWI - 3 : WIM - 4)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0 - AFC WIMBLEDON 0
===============================================
P K S H O O T O U T
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 3 - AFC WIMBLEDON 4
Match Notes
Old skipper of Billy and the high dogs is in the house…..hopefully they don’t have any bite in this one
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/16 - 12:18 AM
Out coached in this one….very lucky to win the lottery
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/16 - 7:29 PM