(H)
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S KENDAL TOWN FC WELLING UNITED FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Gareth Green 16 2 18 Gk Euan Fleming 15 2 17 Sw Harry Stewart 14 2 16 Df Benjamin Charlton 13 2 15 Df Lucas Stevenson 11 2 13 Df Morgan Barmby 17 2 19 Df Stewart Sturridge 8 2 10 Df Ben Neuville 10 2 12 Df Hernan Torres 6 2 8 Df Ian Jackson 6 2 8 Fw Joe Walsh 15 1 16 Mf Eoghan Carroll 14 2 16 Mf Roger Flinders 10 2 12 Mf Nicholas Clark 12 1 13 Mf Pedro Gomes 6 2 8 Df Leon Baumann 9 2 11 Fw Ryan McDonald 13 2 15 Fw Ashley Reynolds 13 2 15 Fw Kyle Bate 13 1 14 Fw Luca Ferguson 9 0 9 Fw Andrew O'Neal 10 2 12 Fw Greg Scott 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 16 31 20 57 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 65 29 32 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 16 33 21 63 T O T A L S 17 0 66 30 32 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.97 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.35 (no red card) Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.88 (no red card) Df Lucas Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.27 (no red card) Df Stewart Sturridge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.22 (no red card) Df Hernan Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.18 (no red card) Fw Joe Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.42 (no red card) Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.27 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.07 (no second yellow) Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.98 (no red card) Fw Ryan McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.63 (no red card) Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.2 (no red card) Fw Andrew O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.85 (no red card) ******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.78 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.73 (no red card) Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 37.74 (no red card) Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.26 (no red card) Df Ben Neuville: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.86 (no red card) Df Ian Jackson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.75 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.34 (no second yellow) Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.12 (no red card) Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.89 (no red card) Df Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.85 (no red card) Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.39 (no red card) Fw Luca Ferguson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 3.97 (no red card) Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.34 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 68.95 (no injury) Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.63 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Harry Stewart is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Harry Stewart new match skill level = 7 Harry Stewart new match total level = 9 Df Lucas Stevenson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.74 (no injury) Df Stewart Sturridge: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.96 (no injury) Df Hernan Torres: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.91 (no injury) Fw Joe Walsh: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.08 (no injury) Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.73 (no injury) Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.78 (no injury) Fw Ryan McDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.33 (no injury) Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.72 (no injury) Fw Andrew O'Neal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.26 (no injury) ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 2 - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 97.41 (no injury) Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.16 (no injury) Df Morgan Barmby: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.89 (no injury) Df Ben Neuville: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.98 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Ben Neuville is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Df Ian Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 42.99 (no injury) Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.11 (no injury) Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.48 (no injury) Df Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.08 (no injury) Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.7 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Ashley Reynolds is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Ashley Reynolds new match skill level = 7 Ashley Reynolds new match total level = 9 Fw Luca Ferguson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.54 (no injury) Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.13 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Joe Walsh SL 15 - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick) ******* KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Morgan Barmby SL 17 - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 16 intRndPk = 8 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Kendal Town FC 18 9 33 21 63 Welling United FC 17 0 66 30 26 Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (63 - 66) Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 30) / 2; rounded up) Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((33 - 26) / 3); result rounded up Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 3 1: Attack for Df Lucas Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Stewart Sturridge Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 3.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Stewart Sturridge Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) ******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Welling United FC 17 0 66 30 26 Kendal Town FC 18 9 33 21 63 Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 33) Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((30 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Welling United FC Df Attacks = 1 ((66 - 63) / 5); result rounded up Welling United FC Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Df Morgan Barmby Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Nicholas Clark Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E KENDAL TOWN FC 0 - WELLING UNITED FC 0
Match Notes
WEL's track record vs KEN: 1-3-11(!) since season 21
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/05 - 5:27 PM
Battle for the division here
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/09 - 1:18 AM