(H)
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S MARINE FC BRIDGWATER TOWN Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Joe Cameron 9 0 9 Gk Owen Brudenell 3 2 5 Df Tyler Reynolds 9 -1 8 Sw Luiz Dias 3 2 5 Df Harrison Rowbotham 8 0 8 Df Jamie Whiteside 6 2 8 Df Gordon Shaw 6 -1 5 Df Patrick Lynch 6 2 8 Df Tihamér Pap 4 2 6 Df Antonin Delattre 6 2 8 Mf Glenn Ellis 10 0 10 Df André Carvalho 3 2 5 Mf Harry Sinclair 10 0 10 Mf Chuck Knox 6 2 8 Mf Andrea Marino 4 2 6 Mf Michael Taylor 6 2 8 Fw Cristobal Saez 11 0 11 Mf Geoffrey Simpson 3 2 5 Fw Tony Murray 9 0 9 Fw Hayden Hamilton 7 2 9 Fw Reuben Dowson 4 0 4 Fw Conall Walsh 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 9 0 27 26 24 ROSTER TOTALS 5 5 29 21 17 0 0 3 2 3 HARDNESS 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 9 0 33 31 30 T O T A L S 5 5 31 21 17 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 8 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.06 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.93 (no red card) Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 93.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 79.12 (no red card) Df Harrison Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 77.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 98.76 (no red card) Df Gordon Shaw: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 56.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 75.54 (no red card) Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 4.69 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 98.41 (no second yellow) Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 73.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 76.19 (no red card) Mf Harry Sinclair: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 47.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 92.96 (no red card) Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 44.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 89.59 (no red card) Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 27.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 71.63 (no red card) Fw Tony Murray: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 9.51 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 37.9 (no second yellow) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 95.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 75.38 (no red card) ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.65 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.62 (no red card) Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.67 (no red card) Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.56 (no red card) Df Patrick Lynch: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.58 (no red card) Df Antonin Delattre: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.99 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.72 (no second yellow) Df André Carvalho: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.98 (no red card) Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.78 (no red card) Mf Michael Taylor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.95 (no red card) Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.01 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Geoffrey Simpson new match skill level = 2 Geoffrey Simpson new match total level = 4 Fw Hayden Hamilton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.59 (no red card) Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.12 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Marine FC Team Hardness = 8 - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.0% - Gk chance of injury = 3.0% Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.35 (no injury) Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 42.32 (no injury) Df Harrison Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 4.84 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Harrison Rowbotham is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Harrison Rowbotham new match skill level = 4 Harrison Rowbotham new match total level = 4 Df Gordon Shaw: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 82.2 (no injury) Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 84.7 (no injury) Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 98.05 (no injury) Mf Harry Sinclair: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 43.65 (no injury) Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 39.69 (no injury) Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 62.43 (no injury) Fw Tony Murray: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 67.58 (no injury) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 32.94 (no injury) ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2 - Marine FC Team Hardness = 8 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 9.0% - Gk chance of injury = 4.5% Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 80.79 (no injury) Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of injury = 9.0% | Random number = 48.29 (no injury) Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 9.0% | Random number = 63.06 (no injury) Df Patrick Lynch: Chance of injury = 9.0% | Random number = 58.05 (no injury) Df Antonin Delattre: Chance of injury = 9.0% | Random number = 2.46 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 4 Antonin Delattre is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Antonin Delattre new match skill level = 3 Antonin Delattre new match total level = 5 Df André Carvalho: Chance of injury = 9.0% | Random number = 79.85 (no injury) Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of injury = 9.0% | Random number = 64.49 (no injury) Mf Michael Taylor: Chance of injury = 9.0% | Random number = 28.82 (no injury) Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of injury = 9.0% | Random number = 12.71 (no injury) Fw Hayden Hamilton: Chance of injury = 9.0% | Random number = 25.93 (no injury) Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of injury = 9.0% | Random number = 65.74 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Cristobal Saez SL 11 - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 3 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick) ******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 8; (8 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Hayden Hamilton SL 7 - Defending Gk: Joe Cameron SL 9 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick) 7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 60% | Random number = 75 (pk blocked) 8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Marine FC 9 0 29 31 30 Bridgwater Town 5 5 28 20 17 Marine FC Fw Attacks = 2 (30 - 28); result rounded up Marine FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((31 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up Marine FC Df Attacks = 3 ((29 - 17) / 5); result rounded up Marine FC Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Df Tihamér Pap Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 35.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Gordon Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Gordon Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Andrea Marino Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 5.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Glenn Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Harry Sinclair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Harry Sinclair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Andrea Marino Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 7.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Mf Glenn Ellis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 37.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 54.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bridgwater Town 5 5 28 20 17 Marine FC 9 0 29 31 30 Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 29) Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 31) / 2; rounded up) Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 30) / 3; rounded up) Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E MARINE FC 1 - BRIDGWATER TOWN 0