Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 8

Why Do I Care?

Portland Lumberjacks

Antoine Thevenon

(H)
at St. Charles

St. Charles Scarecrows

Max Sellers

St. Charles leads series 20-16

Match Comments

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Portland			St. Charles
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
84.0	B+	Libero		A+	95.0
86.0	A-	Middle Blockers		A-	88.0
80.5	B	Outside Hitters		A+	95.0
94.0	A+	Right Side		B-	74.0
96.0	A+	Setter		A	91.0
86.7 A-		Skills Prediction		89.4 A-

	36 MATCHES
16	WINS	20
11	HOME	11
4	AWAY	4
1	NEUTRAL	5

Portland		St. Charles
#13	ELO Rank	#17
1,516.36	ELO Rating	1,495.02 (+145)
28.6%	ELO Winning Chance	71.4%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.426 1st	ATTACK PCT	.263 30th
13.80 1st	KILLS PER SET	11.10 30th
.861 14th	SERVE PCT	.834 30th
1.89 6th	ACES PER SET	1.26 27th
.593 1st	ASSIST PCT	.469 30th
13.41 1st	ASSISTS PER SET	10.63 31st
3.61 28th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.34 14th
6.5 30th	DIGS PER SET	6.56 27th
.915 20th	RECEIVE PCT	.890 32nd
2.183 8th	PASSER RATING	2.071 31st

	TOP TWO
Marshall (RS) 196 Grossi (MB) 124	KILLS	Allen (OH) 140 Pearce (OH) 135
Grossi (MB) .669 Marshall (RS) .622	ATTACK PCT	Pearce (OH) .588 Allen (OH) .517
Noble (S) 575 Harvey (S) 208	ASSISTS	Law (S) 449 Cabal (S) 117
Marshall (RS) 25 Grossi (MB) 23	ACES	Pearce (OH) 20 Law (S) 10
Grossi (MB) 39 Sparks (OH) 30	BLOCKS	Tindall (MB) 45 Wurzinger (MB) 36
Melendez (L) 76 Mader (OH) 53	DIGS	Owens (L) 84 Tillie (OH) 44
Melendez (L) 2.49 Collazo (OH) 2.22	PASSER RTG	Callegari (L) 2.39 Owens (L) 2.31

#	TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
7.	Gary Owens Senior A- 2.31 Passer Rating 2.40 Digs Per Set	7.49
10.	Carlos Melendez Junior B 2.49 Passer Rating 1.77 Digs Per Set	7.18

#	TOP SETTERS	Rtg
3.	Don Law Junior B+ 12.83 Assists Per Set 1.74 Service Pts Per Set	8.60
6.	Darrell Noble Junior A 13.37 Assists Per Set 1.91 Service Pts Per Set	8.26

#	TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
8.	Kurt Allen Senior B 4.00 Kills Per Set 2.21 Passer Rating	7.63
10.	Michael Pearce Junior A 3.86 Kills Per Set 2.19 Passer Rating	7.58

#		TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
6.		Brendan Marshall Senior A- 4.56 Kills Per Set 0.56 Blocks Per Set	7.77

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
6.		Blaine Tindall Soph. B+ 1.29 Blocks Per Set 2.54 Kills Per Set	8.10

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	5	Apr 16, 2022	0	-	3	11-25	22-25	18-25			Big 8	0	-	1
5	39	Jun 18, 2022	3	-	2	23-25	26-24	23-25	25-20	15-10	Big 8	0	-	2
5	41	Jun 18, 2022	0	- (n)	3	16-25	18-25	23-25			TMVL Shield	0	-	3
6	12	Aug 20, 2022	1	-	3	25-13	19-25	19-25	21-25		William G. Morgan Cup6-12Round of 32 William G. Morgan Cup	0	-	4
6	14	Aug 27, 2022	1	-	3	21-25	20-25	25-20	23-25		Big 8	1	-	4
6	31	Sep 24, 2022	3	- (n)	2	25-22	18-25	19-25	25-21	15-10	TMVL Shield6-31Sweet 16 TMVL Shield	1	-	5
6	44	Oct 15, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	22-25	18-25			Big 8	1	-	6
7	5	Nov 19, 2022	2	-	3	25-22	20-25	16-25	25-23	11-15	Big 8	1	-	7
7	19	Dec 24, 2022	0	-	3	12-25	11-25	18-25			Big 8 Tournament7-19Quarterfinals Big 8 Tournament	1	-	8
7	39	Jan 28, 2023	3	-	0	25-23	25-20	25-16			Big 8	1	-	9
8	1	Feb 19, 2023	3	-	0	25-22	25-23	25-22			Big 8	1	-	10
8	10	Mar 12, 2023	0	-	3	15-25	11-25	19-25			Big 8	1	-	11
9	8	Jun 11, 2023	1	-	3	17-25	15-25	25-23	16-25		Big 8	1	-	12
9	32	Jul 23, 2023	3	- (n)	0	25-17	25-20	25-15			National Championship9-32Sweet 16 National Championship	1	-	13
9	34	Jul 30, 2023	3	-	0	25-20	31-29	25-18			Big 8	1	-	14
10	2	Sep 10, 2023	3	-	0	25-15	25-20	25-19			Big 8	2	-	14
10	11	Oct 01, 2023	0	-	3	21-25	25-27	22-25			Big 8	3	-	14
10	33	Nov 05, 2023	3	- (n)	2	28-26	21-25	20-25	25-18	16-14	Holyoke Invitational10-33Sweet 16 Holyoke Invitational	3	-	15
10	45	Nov 26, 2023	3	- (n)	2	25-20	16-25	25-16	23-25	15-8	TMVL Cup	3	-	16
11	14	Jan 14, 2024	3	-	2	25-22	20-25	25-17	18-25	15-9	Big 8	4	-	16
11	44	Mar 03, 2024	2	-	3	25-21	25-14	16-25	23-25	13-15	Big 8	5	-	16
12	1	Apr 28, 2024	1	-	3	19-25	25-22	16-25	12-25		Big 8	6	-	16
12	10	May 20, 2024	0	-	3	11-25	15-25	20-25			Big 8	6	-	17
13	1	Sep 15, 2024	1	-	3	18-25	25-27	25-20	22-25		Big 8	7	-	17
13	10	Oct 06, 2024	1	-	3	27-25	16-25	15-25	18-25		Big 8	7	-	18
14	2	Dec 15, 2024	1	-	3	25-23	20-25	8-25	14-25		Big 8	8	-	18
14	11	Jan 05, 2025	0	-	3	24-26	19-25	23-25			Big 8	8	-	19
15	2	Jun 08, 2025	3	-	0	25-16	29-27	25-19			Big 8	9	-	19
15	11	Jun 29, 2025	0	-	3	25-27	13-25	25-27			Big 8	10	-	19
16	8	Sep 28, 2025	0	-	3	14-25	16-25	16-25			Big 8	11	-	19
16	34	Nov 16, 2025	3	-	1	25-20	19-25	25-21	25-22		Big 8	12	-	19
16	42	Nov 23, 2025	1	- (n)	3	22-25	20-25	28-26	21-25		National Championship16-42SEMIFINALS National Championship	13	-	19
17	7	Feb 22, 2026	2	-	3	18-25	20-25	25-23	25-19	16-18	Big 8	13	-	20
17	19	Mar 15, 2026	0	-	3	24-26	18-25	23-25			Big 8 Tournament17-19Quarterfinals Big 8 Tournament	14	-	20
17	29	Apr 05, 2026	0	-	3	15-25	25-27	9-25			Big 8	15	-	20
18	2	Aug 02, 2026	0	-	3	11-25	9-25	8-25			Big 8	16	-	20
18	11	Aug 23, 2026	0	-	3	24-26	12-25	20-25			Big 8	16	-	21
18	16	Aug 30, 2026	0	-	3	12-25	14-25	22-25			William G. Morgan Cup18-16Sweet 16 William G. Morgan Cup	16	-	22

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.