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Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEICESTER CITY FC                          PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Waylon Gómez           13    0   13     Gk Valentin Lugn          17    2   19
Sw Garga Oumar            13    1   14     Sw Walter Olivera         14    2   16
Df Michael Frost          13    0   13     Df Hayden Goodwin         17    2   19
Df Jules Giguere          12    1   13     Df Abdul Otu              11    2   13
Mf Ivan Rowles            13    0   13     Df Joel Calvo             10    2   12
Mf Youssouf Konaté        12    1   13     Fw Arthur Goodwin         11    2   13
Fw Tiago Gomes             8    1    9     Mf Milt Alvarez           12    1   13
Fw Seydou Ba              15    0   15     Mf Bahaeeddine Ait        10    2   12
Fw Ahmed Ibrahim          11    0   11     Fw Eduardo Luna           13    2   15
Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi     10    0   10     Fw Pol Ruiz               10    2   12
Fw Victor Manuel Oliveira 10    0   10     Fw Atsushi Morioka         7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 14 26 26 55        ROSTER TOTALS      19 16 44 25 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 14 26 26 64         T O T A L S       19 16 44 25 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Waylon Gómez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.98 (no red card)

Sw Garga Oumar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.86 (no red card)

Df Michael Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.88 (no red card)

Df Jules Giguere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.01 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.5 (no red card)

Mf Youssouf Konaté: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.35 (no red card)

Fw Tiago Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.48 (no red card)

Fw Seydou Ba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.67 (no red card)

Fw Ahmed Ibrahim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.36 (no red card)

Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.6 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.05 (no second yellow)

Fw Victor Manuel Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.78 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.81 (no red card)

Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.8 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.26 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.19 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.24 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.44 (no red card)

Mf Milt Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.89 (no red card)

Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.8 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.18 (no red card)

Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.51 (no red card)

Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Waylon Gómez: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.67 (no injury) 
Sw Garga Oumar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.18 (no injury) 
Df Michael Frost: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.53 (no injury) 
Df Jules Giguere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.89 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.58 (no injury) 
Mf Youssouf Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.02 (no injury) 
Fw Tiago Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.01 (no injury) 
Fw Seydou Ba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.7 (no injury) 
Fw Ahmed Ibrahim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.49 (no injury) 
Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.61 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Manuel Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.38 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.92 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.51 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.72 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.54 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.97 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Joel Calvo is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Joel Calvo new match skill level =  5
      Joel Calvo new match total level =  7
Fw Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.94 (no injury) 
Mf Milt Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.38 (no injury) 
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.3 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.75 (no injury) 
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.37 (no injury) 
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.64 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Seydou Ba SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Waylon Gómez SL 13

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        13  14  26  26  64
  Preston North End FC     19  16  39  25  49

Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 25 (64 - 39); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Mf Youssouf Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Victor Manuel Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Seydou Ba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 94.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Victor Manuel Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Tiago Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 8.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Tiago Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 50.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Seydou Ba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Victor Manuel Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 97.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Tiago Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 69.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Victor Manuel Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Seydou Ba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Seydou Ba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Seydou Ba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 36.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Victor Manuel Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Seydou Ba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 61.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Seydou Ba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     19  16  39  25  49
  Leicester City FC        13  14  26  26  64

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 23 (49 - 26); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 89.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 72.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEICESTER CITY FC 2  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 3
 
Match Notes
Must win for PNE having already been dispatched from the Shield? Best of luck I man
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/10 - 11:14 AM
 
 
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