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Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC                        DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Giles Kelly            16    2   18     Gk Thomas Bakken          13    2   15
Sw Frank Barnes           13    2   15     Sw Matthew Vargas          7    2    9
Df Rian Mahoney           13    2   15     Df Nathan Carroll         13    2   15
Df Lewis Welbeck           7    2    9     Df Charles Oakes          12    2   14
Mf Gabriel Watson         13    1   14     Df Gonzalo Fernández      14    1   15
Mf Mason McDermott         7    2    9     Df Alex Graham             3    2    5
Fw Ashley Bennett         13    2   15     Mf Thomas Coppell         13    2   15
Fw Christopher Milner     13    1   14     Mf Stephen King           11    2   13
Fw Cameron Ferdinand      12    1   13     Fw Darren Graham          15    2   17
Fw Alex Dean               7    2    9     Fw Cameron MacKay         12    2   14
Fw Filippo Mariani         3    2    5     Fw Simon Schmidt           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 24 23 56        ROSTER TOTALS      15  9 49 28 40    
       0  0  0  0  3          HARDNESS          0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 24 23 68         T O T A L S       15 12 49 35 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Giles Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.05 (no red card)

Sw Frank Barnes: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 74.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 46.57 (no red card)

Df Rian Mahoney: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 86.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 16.22 (no red card)

Df Lewis Welbeck: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 69.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 90.12 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Watson: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 50.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 92.4 (no red card)

Mf Mason McDermott: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 38.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 27.12 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Bennett: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 96.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 98.4 (no red card)

Fw Christopher Milner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 61.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 78.46 (no red card)

Fw Cameron Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 97.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 30.67 (no red card)

Fw Alex Dean: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 11.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 61.97 (no red card)

Fw Filippo Mariani: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 78.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 90.58 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thomas Bakken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.58 (no red card)

Sw Matthew Vargas: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 5.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 5.78 (no second yellow)

Df Nathan Carroll: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 46.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 70.48 (no red card)

Df Charles Oakes: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 96.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 74.16 (no red card)

Df Gonzalo Fernández: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 1.93 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 87.72 (no second yellow)

Df Alex Graham: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 39.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 20.27 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Coppell: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 87.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 56.55 (no red card)

Mf Stephen King: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 25.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 21.97 (no red card)

Fw Darren Graham: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 45.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 97.43 (no red card)

Fw Cameron MacKay: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 20.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 8.31 (no red card)

Fw Simon Schmidt: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 46.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 29.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Giles Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.16 (no injury) 
Sw Frank Barnes: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 87.55 (no injury) 
Df Rian Mahoney: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 17.62 (no injury) 
Df Lewis Welbeck: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 16.33 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Watson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 7.6 (no injury) 
Mf Mason McDermott: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 89.76 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Bennett: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 75.93 (no injury) 
Fw Christopher Milner: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 70.62 (no injury) 
Fw Cameron Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 40.2 (no injury) 
Fw Alex Dean: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 8.84 (no injury) 
Fw Filippo Mariani: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 64.37 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Thomas Bakken: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.0 (no injury) 
Sw Matthew Vargas: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 84.99 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Carroll: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 94.68 (no injury) 
Df Charles Oakes: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 47.93 (no injury) 
Df Gonzalo Fernández: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 58.35 (no injury) 
Df Alex Graham: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 37.14 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Coppell: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 14.18 (no injury) 
Mf Stephen King: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 66.69 (no injury) 
Fw Darren Graham: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 36.75 (no injury) 
Fw Cameron MacKay: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 79.53 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Schmidt: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 27.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Rian Mahoney SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Thomas Bakken SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 94 (pk blocked)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Darren Graham SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Giles Kelly SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      18  15  24  23  68
  Dorchester Town          15  12  49  35  40

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 19 (68 - 49); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Alex Dean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Christopher Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Christopher Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 60.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Alex Dean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ashley Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 10.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ashley Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Cameron Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ashley Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Christopher Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 40.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ashley Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          15  12  49  35  40
  Northampton Town FC      18  15  24  23  68

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 8 (40 - 24) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 3 ((35 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 68) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Stephen King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Thomas Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Thomas Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Darren Graham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Darren Graham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 75.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Darren Graham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Darren Graham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Cameron MacKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 5.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 1
 
Match Notes
Northampton just one point behind us with six points. Another relegation six pointer?
Andy (Dorchester Town) 04/30 - 4:17 PM
Indeed
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 05/05 - 9:58 PM
All we care about now
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 05/05 - 9:58 PM
Big game is it
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 05/06 - 6:43 PM
Dorchester don’t look shabby
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 05/06 - 6:43 PM
Now that’s just rude
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 05/06 - 6:44 PM
We somehow managed to pinch all three points. Sorry Simon.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 05/07 - 12:15 AM
 
 
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