(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Alonso Lopez 14 2 16 Gk Gregory Reyna 7 2 9
Sw Glen Clarke 12 2 14 Sw Cristhian Dybala 11 2 13
Df Vincent Hamidou 15 2 17 Df Eirwyn Davey 7 2 9
Df Mauricio López 12 2 14 Df Owen Sansom 5 2 7
Mf Diop N'day 11 2 13 Df Peter Bengtsson 8 2 10
Mf Marco Arce 11 2 13 Mf Aliyu Edet 7 2 9
Mf Ludwig Troell 7 2 9 Mf Duško Kolomyets 6 2 8
Fw Cássio Lemos 16 2 18 Mf Ben Ince 6 2 8
Fw Rónald Aguilera 12 2 14 Mf Salem Bejaoui 8 0 8
Fw Jamie Behich 11 2 13 Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 7 2 9
Fw Kenzie McDonald 14 2 16 Fw Noah Zimmermann 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 14 31 35 61 ROSTER TOTALS 9 13 26 33 18
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
16 14 31 35 70 T O T A L S 9 13 33 33 18
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.95 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.94 (no red card)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.77 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.38 (no red card)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.66 (no red card)
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.4 (no red card)
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.39 (no red card)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.87 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.61 (no red card)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.86 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.08 (no second yellow)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.55 (no red card)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.44 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.62 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.32 (no red card)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.92 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.2 (no red card)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.99 (no red card)
Df Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.51 (no red card)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.61 (no red card)
Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.27 (no red card)
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.0 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.05 (no second yellow)
Mf Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.44 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.95 (no red card)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.46 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.65 (no injury)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.68 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.04 (no injury)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.35 (no injury)
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.3 (no injury)
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.18 (no injury)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.32 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.0 (no injury)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.7 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.2 (no injury)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 9.87 (no injury)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.78 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.3 (no injury)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.23 (no injury)
Df Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.12 (no injury)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.52 (no injury)
Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.77 (no injury)
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.61 (no injury)
Mf Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.06 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.35 (no injury)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.74 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 16
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 7
intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Peter Bengtsson SL 8
- Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 14
intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 16 14 31 35 70
Carlisle United 9 13 33 33 18
Southend United Fw Attacks = 37 (70 - 33); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((35 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 5 ((31 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 43
1: Attack for Df Mauricio López
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 34.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Mauricio López
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 13.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Diop N'day
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 20.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 8.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 14.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 47.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 18.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 24.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
31: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 2.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
32: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 3.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
33: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 37.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
35: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
37: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
38: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 1.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
39: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
40: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
41: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
42: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
43: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 9 13 33 33 18
Southend United 16 14 31 35 70
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 31)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 35) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 70) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
Well, that’s unusual but not for this season.
Colin (Southend United) 02/09 - 2:21 AM
Inspirational performance from the young GK. Probably his career highlight already.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/09 - 2:58 AM