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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcos Cruz            16    2   18     Gk Toby Barmby            16    2   18
Df Nazariy Kozak          13    1   14     Sw Ji-An Sang-chul        17    2   19
Df Shay Given             13    2   15     Df Kurt Mörner            13    2   15
Df André Bukari           13    2   15     Df Hakim Aguerd           13    2   15
Df Marco Sibaja            9    2   11     Mf Amdy Diedhiou          13    2   15
Df Cássio Alisson          5    2    7     Mf Ogenyi Kabiru           9    2   11
Mf Faber Ruiz             13    1   14     Fw Mats Göthberg          13    2   15
Mf Luis Jarquin            9    2   11     Fw Raul Duarte            13    2   15
Fw Justice Shorunmu       14    1   15     Fw Sebastiaan Jansen      13    2   15
Fw Jean Diouf              9    1   10     Fw Fabian Weber           14    2   16
Fw Roberto Bonano          5    2    7     Fw Jacques Mahamat         9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 62 25 32        ROSTER TOTALS      18 19 30 26 72    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  7  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  0 62 41 32         T O T A L S       18 22 30 26 73    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 26.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 56.2 (no red card)

Df Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.82 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.37 (no second yellow)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.83 (no red card)

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.76 (no red card)

Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.27 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.85 (no red card)

Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.1 (no red card)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.98 (no red card)

Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.06 (no second yellow)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.05 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Jean Diouf new match skill level =  5
      Jean Diouf new match total level =  6

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.71 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.24 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.54 (no red card)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.35 (no red card)

Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.13 (no red card)

Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.41 (no second yellow)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.86 (no red card)

Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.96 (no red card)

Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.05 (no red card)

Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.11 (no red card)

Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.08 (no red card)

Fw Jacques Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 57.7 (no injury) 
Df Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 1.46 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Nazariy Kozak is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Nazariy Kozak new match skill level =  7
      Nazariy Kozak new match total level =  8
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.49 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 34.96 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.9 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 13.19 (no injury) 
Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.41 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 31.14 (no injury) 
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.57 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.1 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 78.14 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 1
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 12.91 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 13.71 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.1 (no injury) 
Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.67 (no injury) 
Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.32 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.04 (no injury) 
Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.0 (no injury) 
Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 15.79 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.83 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Sebastiaan Jansen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Sebastiaan Jansen new match skill level =  7
      Sebastiaan Jansen new match total level =  9
Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.63 (no injury) 
Fw Jacques Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.33 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Jacques Mahamat is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jacques Mahamat new match skill level =  5
      Jacques Mahamat new match total level =  7
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Justice Shorunmu SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Weber SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 21   0  56  41  28
  Queens Park Rangers      18  22  30  26  63

Lewes FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 30)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((41 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((56 - 63) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Luis Jarquin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Faber Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Faber Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Faber Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  22  30  26  63
  Lewes FC                 21   0  56  41  28

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 4 (63 - 56) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Hakim Aguerd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 53.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 62.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 0  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
Match Notes
A chippy affair with 3 injuries
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/13 - 6:31 PM
 
 
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