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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Maciej Piechniczek     14    2   16     Gk Kurt Östman             6    1    7
Sw Algernon Rooney        13    2   15     Sw Hernán Mejias           8    0    8
Df Cristian Boga          12    2   14     Df Laurence Clarke        13    2   15
Df Gonçalo Cancelo         6    2    8     Df Kazimierz Szczesny      6    2    8
Mf Sebastiaan Koning      10    2   12     Df Martin Persson          3    2    5
Mf Søren Jacobsen          6    2    8     Mf Derek Holmes           10    0   10
Fw Tim Scholz             14    2   16     Mf Johnny Rieder           6    2    8
Fw Hugo Larcher           16    2   18     Mf Noah Martinez           3    2    5
Fw Sebastian Zielinski    10    2   12     Mf Alberto Alves           7    0    7
Fw Mark Duffy              9    1   10     Fw Paul Dumont             6    2    8
Fw Valentyn Shulga         6    2    8     Fw Atef Omar               3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 22 20 64        ROSTER TOTALS       7  8 28 30 13    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  3  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 23 23 69         T O T A L S        7 11 32 30 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 68.41 (no red card)

Sw Algernon Rooney: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.18 (no red card)

Df Cristian Boga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.12 (no red card)

Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.27 (no red card)

Mf Sebastiaan Koning: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.88 (no red card)

Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.23 (no red card)

Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.72 (no red card)

Fw Hugo Larcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.59 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.46 (no red card)

Fw Mark Duffy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.44 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.11 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.85 (no red card)

Sw Hernán Mejias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.7 (no red card)

Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.95 (no red card)

Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.08 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.34 (no red card)

Mf Derek Holmes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.0 (no red card)

Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.04 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.36 (no red card)

Mf Alberto Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.77 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.78 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 50.04 (no injury) 
Sw Algernon Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.87 (no injury) 
Df Cristian Boga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.99 (no injury) 
Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.77 (no injury) 
Mf Sebastiaan Koning: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.61 (no injury) 
Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.07 (no injury) 
Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.89 (no injury) 
Fw Hugo Larcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.28 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.59 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Duffy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.33 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.5 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 18.81 (no injury) 
Sw Hernán Mejias: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.56 (no injury) 
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.95 (no injury) 
Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.5 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Kazimierz Szczesny is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kazimierz Szczesny new match skill level =  3
      Kazimierz Szczesny new match total level =  5
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.81 (no injury) 
Mf Derek Holmes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.57 (no injury) 
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.42 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Johnny Rieder is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Johnny Rieder new match skill level =  3
      Johnny Rieder new match total level =  5
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.32 (no injury) 
Mf Alberto Alves: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.42 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.37 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.29 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hugo Larcher SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 6

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Laurence Clarke SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          17  15  23  23  69
  Nottingham Forest        7  11  29  27  13

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 40 (69 - 29); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 4 ((23 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 44

1: Attack for Df Cristian Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Cristian Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 65.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Cristian Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 92.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Cristian Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Mark Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 57.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 26.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 5.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Mark Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Mark Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 75.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 20.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Mark Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 9.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Mark Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 79.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
36: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 77.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
37: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
38: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Mark Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 58 (Shot Off Target) 
40: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
42: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
43: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
44: Attack for Fw Hugo Larcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        7  11  29  27  13
  Tranmere Rovers          17  15  23  23  69

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 23)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 69) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Alberto Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 6  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
Match Notes
Was the injury necessary?
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/10 - 8:48 PM
-5 injury on my APP which forces a SBY to play next week...
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/10 - 9:01 PM
 
 
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