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Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

QUEENS PARK RANGERS                        LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Toby Barmby            15    2   17     Gk Marcos Cruz            15    2   17
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul        14    2   16     Df Nazariy Kozak           8    2   10
Df Hakim Aguerd           13    2   15     Df André Bukari           13    1   14
Df Roman Piatek            6    2    8     Df Shay Given             10    1   11
Mf Amdy Diedhiou          13    2   15     Df Aaron MacKay           10    0   10
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru           6    2    8     Df Marco Sibaja            6    2    8
Fw Ilarion Novykov        13    1   14     Mf Veselin Dudnyk         12    1   13
Fw Fabian Weber           14    0   14     Mf Henrik Kristensen      10    1   11
Fw Raul Duarte            10    2   12     Fw Juan Carlos Parra      13    0   13
Fw Chuck Kane              7    1    8     Fw Jean Diouf              6    2    8
Fw Jacques Mahamat         6    2    8     Mf Fredrik Engberg         4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 23 23 56        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 53 30 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 23 23 65         T O T A L S       18  0 60 30 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.32 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.91 (no red card)

Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.67 (no red card)

Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.58 (no red card)

Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.12 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.8 (no red card)

Fw Ilarion Novykov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.4 (no red card)

Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.11 (no red card)

Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.94 (no red card)

Fw Chuck Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.87 (no red card)

Fw Jacques Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.99 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 50.76 (no red card)

Df Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.23 (no red card)

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.84 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.59 (no red card)

Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.15 (no red card)

Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.86 (no red card)

Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.63 (no red card)

Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.8 (no red card)

Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.44 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.86 (no red card)

Mf Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 39.63 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.45 (no injury) 
Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.46 (no injury) 
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.95 (no injury) 
Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.98 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.2 (no injury) 
Fw Ilarion Novykov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.89 (no injury) 
Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.41 (no injury) 
Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.9 (no injury) 
Fw Chuck Kane: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.06 (no injury) 
Fw Jacques Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.07 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 11.86 (no injury) 
Df Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.17 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.32 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.06 (no injury) 
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.83 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.31 (no injury) 
Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.92 (no injury) 
Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.94 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Carlos Parra: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.48 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.58 (no injury) 
Mf Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.05 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Weber SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: André Bukari SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 15

     intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      17  16  23  23  65
  Lewes FC                 18   0  60  30  21

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 3 (65 - 60) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 1 ((23 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Hakim Aguerd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 18   0  60  30  21
  Queens Park Rangers      17  16  23  23  65

Lewes FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 23)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((60 - 65) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Henrik Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
QUEENS PARK RANGERS 2  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
With two top players suspended due to questionable officiating this may be tough
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/27 - 1:28 PM
Maybe if they did not use 10 hardness Lewes would have less players suspended
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/29 - 10:55 AM
only saying as we can feel another 10 hardness session materialising here!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/29 - 10:55 AM
Physical brand of soccer will be required this season as the Rooks are a little "thin" on talent. However, we are excited with the addition of the MF Ruiz and time will tell whether it is enough to keep Lewes up.
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/31 - 12:33 PM
Going to be a very long season
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/01 - 6:12 PM
 
 
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