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Saturday, February 24th, 2024 - 05:03:49 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEEDS UNITED                               BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tadhg Boyle            14    0   14     Gk Sion Watkins           16    1   17
Sw Edoardo Martini        13    1   14     Sw Ricardo Xavier          6    2    8
Df Keith Wilson           13    0   13     Df Darijo Corluka         10    1   11
Df Yozhef Shapoval        11    1   12     Df Martyn Owen             6    2    8
Df Servando Verón          6   -2    4     Df Rasmus Antonsen         3    2    5
Mf Etienne Waseige         6    2    8     Mf Cédric Kamga           10    1   11
Mf Hayden Redmayne         6    2    8     Mf Geert De Ketelaere      6    2    8
Fw Jens Larsen            13    0   13     Mf Alvaro Rodríguez        3    2    5
Fw Christophe Thuram      12    0   12     Fw Michael Lagerbäck      10    2   12
Fw Mbark Sabiri            6    2    8     Fw Lilian Cazenave         6    2    8
Fw Geon-u Seung-woo        6    2    8     Fw Armin Seuffert          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 14 29 16 41        ROSTER TOTALS      17  8 24 24 25    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 14 29 17 50         T O T A L S       17 11 28 24 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.73 (no red card)

Sw Edoardo Martini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.66 (no red card)

Df Keith Wilson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.41 (no red card)

Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.66 (no red card)

Df Servando Verón: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.49 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.22 (no second yellow)

Mf Hayden Redmayne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.87 (no second yellow)

Fw Jens Larsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.65 (no red card)

Fw Christophe Thuram: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.04 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.14 (no red card)

Fw Geon-u Seung-woo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.33 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.65 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.3 (no red card)

Df Darijo Corluka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.39 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.33 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.35 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.52 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.02 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.57 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.47 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.26 (no red card)

Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Tadhg Boyle: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 46.01 (no injury) 
Sw Edoardo Martini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.07 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Edoardo Martini is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Edoardo Martini new match skill level =  7
      Edoardo Martini new match total level =  8
Df Keith Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.19 (no injury) 
Df Yozhef Shapoval: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.04 (no injury) 
Df Servando Verón: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.29 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Waseige: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.25 (no injury) 
Mf Hayden Redmayne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.28 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Larsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.73 (no injury) 
Fw Christophe Thuram: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.28 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.6 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Mbark Sabiri is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Geon-u Seung-woo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.84 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 80.74 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.21 (no injury) 
Df Darijo Corluka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.81 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.03 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.35 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.0 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.28 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.91 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.98 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.04 (no injury) 
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.89 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Keith Wilson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Sion Watkins SL 16

     intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Darijo Corluka SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Tadhg Boyle SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             14   8  29  17  50
  Brentford FC             17  11  28  24  25

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 22 (50 - 28); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 2 ((29 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Leeds United Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Servando Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Servando Verón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 78.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Geon-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Geon-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Geon-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Geon-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 70.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Geon-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Jens Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Christophe Thuram
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             17  11  28  24  25
  Leeds United             14   8  29  17  50

Brentford FC is Playing For A Draw!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 29)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 17) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Cédric Kamga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Geert De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 40.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEEDS UNITED 2  -  BRENTFORD FC 0
 
Match Notes
Do we have a chance in this match? We'll see!!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/04 - 4:01 PM
Leeds were too tough today. Well done Abe!
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/10 - 7:05 PM
Thank you Al - we needed this win badly!!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/13 - 2:59 PM
 
 
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