(H)
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
AP Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWANSEA CITY AFC BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk João Azevedo 13 1 14 Gk Alfie Symes 14 0 14
Sw Marty Russell 8 1 9 Sw Nuri Moshe 13 0 13
Df Paulo Dominguez 14 2 16 Df Jose Luis Santana 10 1 11
Df Ryan Bunyan 10 2 12 Df Isaac Pearson 10 1 11
Df Sean Russell 10 1 11 Df Patrick Kelly 7 2 9
Mf Jack Kerr 13 -2 11 Mf Paul Weber 13 0 13
Mf Simon Watkins 10 0 10 Mf Baptiste Lefort 12 1 13
Mf Roberto Arias 5 2 7 Fw Cristian Lozano 17 0 17
Fw Alexander Öberg 16 0 16 Fw Wallace Wilson 13 0 13
Fw Pontus Lundgren 15 2 17 Fw Dag Hansen 11 2 13
Fw Hugh Reilly 9 1 10 Fw Ian Lee 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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14 9 39 28 43 ROSTER TOTALS 14 13 31 26 52
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 1 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 5 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 9 44 28 52 T O T A L S 15 14 31 26 53
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk João Azevedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.41 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.74 (no red card)
Sw Marty Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.4 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.13 (no red card)
Df Paulo Dominguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.88 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.39 (no red card)
Df Ryan Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.7 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.49 (no red card)
Df Sean Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.17 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.5 (no red card)
Mf Jack Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.04 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.17 (no red card)
Mf Simon Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.76 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.07 (no red card)
Mf Roberto Arias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.07 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.22 (no red card)
Fw Alexander Öberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.93 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.31 (no red card)
Fw Pontus Lundgren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.79 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.95 (no red card)
Fw Hugh Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.78 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.53 (no red card)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alfie Symes: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 78.15 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 2.48 (no red card)
Sw Nuri Moshe: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 29.09 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 91.32 (no red card)
Df Jose Luis Santana: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 62.68 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 29.18 (no red card)
Df Isaac Pearson: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 96.83 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 19.59 (no red card)
Df Patrick Kelly: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 8.31 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 8.01 (no second yellow)
Mf Paul Weber: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 27.32 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 54.51 (no red card)
Mf Baptiste Lefort: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 92.42 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 22.12 (no red card)
Fw Cristian Lozano: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 50.01 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 45.43 (no red card)
Fw Wallace Wilson: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 84.42 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 89.86 (no red card)
Fw Dag Hansen: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 21.65 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 72.02 (no red card)
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 78.71 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 61.54 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk João Azevedo: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 87.23 (no injury)
Sw Marty Russell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 30.69 (no injury)
Df Paulo Dominguez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 98.6 (no injury)
Df Ryan Bunyan: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 81.46 (no injury)
Df Sean Russell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 95.57 (no injury)
Mf Jack Kerr: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 47.72 (no injury)
Mf Simon Watkins: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 4.97 (no injury)
Mf Roberto Arias: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 60.7 (no injury)
Fw Alexander Öberg: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 0.23 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Alexander Öberg is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Pontus Lundgren: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 9.62 (no injury)
Fw Hugh Reilly: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 47.51 (no injury)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 3
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alfie Symes: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 37.68 (no injury)
Sw Nuri Moshe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.53 (no injury)
Df Jose Luis Santana: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.99 (no injury)
Df Isaac Pearson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.75 (no injury)
Df Patrick Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.96 (no injury)
Mf Paul Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.85 (no injury)
Mf Baptiste Lefort: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.35 (no injury)
Fw Cristian Lozano: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.46 (no injury)
Fw Wallace Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.58 (no injury)
Fw Dag Hansen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.44 (no injury)
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.0 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Alexander Öberg SL 16
- Defending Gk: Alfie Symes SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cristian Lozano SL 17
- Defending Gk: João Azevedo SL 13
intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 97 (pk blocked)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swansea City AFC 17 9 44 28 52
Brighton & Hove Albion 15 14 31 26 53
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 21 (52 - 31); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Mf Jack Kerr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 97.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Pontus Lundgren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Pontus Lundgren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Alexander Öberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Hugh Reilly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Hugh Reilly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Alexander Öberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 14.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Hugh Reilly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Pontus Lundgren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Alexander Öberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Pontus Lundgren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Pontus Lundgren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Hugh Reilly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Pontus Lundgren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Hugh Reilly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Alexander Öberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 92.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Alexander Öberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Hugh Reilly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Alexander Öberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Pontus Lundgren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Pontus Lundgren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Pontus Lundgren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 15 14 31 26 53
Swansea City AFC 17 9 44 28 52
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 9 (53 - 44); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Cristian Lozano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Cristian Lozano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Wallace Wilson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Cristian Lozano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Wallace Wilson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 3 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2
Match Notes
Disappointed and stunned by this result.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 04/29 - 6:07 PM
Excellent strategy Roy. You deserve to advance.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 04/29 - 6:07 PM
Made the most of home advantage, well played Brian
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 05/01 - 12:56 AM