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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
AP Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez           16    2   18     Gk Jonas Lien             16    2   18
Sw Glen Clarke            15    2   17     Sw Théo Billard           16    2   18
Df Manuel Ortiz           12    2   14     Df Michael Addo           12    2   14
Df Vincent Hamidou        11    2   13     Df Eric Aidoo             10    2   12
Df Kenzie Fraser          11    2   13     Df Niklas Köhler           9    1   10
Mf Claes Östberg          11    2   13     Mf Ibrahim Yusuf          12    2   14
Mf Randall Navarrete      15    2   17     Mf William Gomez          11    2   13
Fw Cássio Lemos           14    2   16     Mf Rigobert Mahamat       10    2   12
Fw Rónald Aguilera        11    2   13     Mf Victor Araújo           6    2    8
Fw Kenzie McDonald        11    2   13     Fw Elliot Wilkins         19    2   21
Fw Jamie Behich            7    2    9     Fw Hideaki Endo           12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 40 30 51        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 36 47 35    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 17 40 30 60         T O T A L S       18 18 36 47 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 15.96 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.14 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.05 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.35 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.95 (no red card)

Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.11 (no red card)

Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.26 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.15 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.69 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.02 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.37 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.06 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.21 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.49 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.88 (no red card)

Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.03 (no red card)

Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.44 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.7 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.86 (no red card)

Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.46 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.94 (no red card)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.92 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 73.8 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.83 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.03 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.41 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.42 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Kenzie Fraser is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.96 (no injury) 
Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.31 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.05 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.53 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.7 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.93 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 97.12 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.08 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.37 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.88 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.15 (no injury) 
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.74 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.82 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.0 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.41 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.62 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.06 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Randall Navarrete SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16

     intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          19  17  40  30  60
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  18  36  47  40

Southend United Fw Attacks = 24 (60 - 36); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 81.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  18  36  47  40
  Southend United          19  17  40  30  60

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 40)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 9 ((47 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Victor Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 88.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 53.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 2  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1
 
Match Notes
Last game of a four match session for Brighton. Not sure what to expect.
Colin (Southend United) 06/12 - 2:54 PM
You tell 'em I'm coming, and hell's coming with me!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/13 - 9:41 PM
You tell 'em I'm coming, and hell's coming with me!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/15 - 12:24 AM
Well that’s disappointing.

Best of luck to you Colin.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/15 - 6:09 PM
I’ll take that.
Cheers Brian.
Colin (Southend United) 06/16 - 10:49 AM
An unfortunate waste of five GPP.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/19 - 1:37 AM
 
 
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