(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
AP Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Valentin Lugn 16 2 18 Gk Kurt Östman 12 2 14
Df Walter Hamisu 12 2 14 Df Jean Courtial 9 2 11
Df Joel Calvo 11 2 13 Df Gualberto Burgos 8 1 9
Df Joseph Jones 11 2 13 Df Nour Zaroury 6 2 8
Df Joan Hierro 7 2 9 Df Vagner Marcelo 5 2 7
Mf Arthur Goodwin 13 2 15 Df Pieter Willems 3 2 5
Mf Tobias Graf 11 2 13 Mf Marwan Sforza 7 2 9
Mf Carlos Nuñez 3 2 5 Mf Fernando Bentancur 7 2 9
Fw Eduardo Luna 16 1 17 Mf Paul Simons 3 2 5
Fw Victor Pino 10 2 12 Fw Rico Santambrogio 7 2 9
Fw Atsushi Morioka 10 2 12 Fw Ghaith Abid 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 0 49 33 41 ROSTER TOTALS 14 0 40 23 14
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
21 0 49 33 50 T O T A L S 14 0 47 23 14
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.97 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.52 (no red card)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.05 (no red card)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.71 (no red card)
Df Joseph Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.2 (no red card)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.03 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.84 (no red card)
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.43 (no red card)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.25 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.57 (no red card)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.03 (no red card)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.39 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.97 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.74 (no red card)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.83 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.9 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.46 (no red card)
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.34 (no red card)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.24 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.5 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.09 (no red card)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.69 (no red card)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.98 (no red card)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 29.34 (no injury)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.2 (no injury)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.07 (no injury)
Df Joseph Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.25 (no injury)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.17 (no injury)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.98 (no injury)
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.84 (no injury)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.26 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.47 (no injury)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.1 (no injury)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.11 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 27.53 (no injury)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.93 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.31 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.49 (no injury)
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.3 (no injury)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.61 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.5 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.78 (no injury)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.24 (no injury)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.36 (no injury)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.14 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eduardo Luna SL 16
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 12
intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jean Courtial SL 9
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 16
intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 21 0 49 33 50
Nottingham Forest 14 0 47 23 14
Nottingham Forest is using Offside Trap!
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 2 (50 - 47) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((33 - 23) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 7 ((49 - 14) / 5); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Df Joseph Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 12.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Joseph Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Joseph Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 74.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Joseph Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Joseph Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Df Joseph Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Carlos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 56.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 31.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Mf Tobias Graf
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Mf Carlos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 14 0 47 23 14
Preston North End FC 21 0 49 33 50
Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 49)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 33) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 50) / 5; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 2 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
The I-Man has not lost a game this season. Will Steve end that?
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/07 - 2:04 AM
We did ok
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/07 - 6:19 PM