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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed           13    2   15     Gk Reuben Lennon          14    1   15
Sw John Taylor            11    0   11     Df Exequiel Curbelo        8    1    9
Df Gabriel Lind           13    2   15     Df Patrick Kelly           7    1    8
Df Bailey Stevens          9    2   11     Df Óscar Cespedes          6    2    8
Df Sion Davey              6    2    8     Df Eric Aidoo              6    2    8
Mf Thomas Robinson        13    0   13     Df Jaap De wit             3    2    5
Mf Noah Clark              7    2    9     Mf Victor Araújo          10    0   10
Mf Patrice Djemba          3    2    5     Mf Raouf Salem             6    2    8
Fw Damien Sanchez         15    2   17     Mf Rigobert Mahamat        6    2    8
Fw Elias Schmidt          10    0   10     Mf Yuriy Taran             3    2    5
Fw Craig Alexander         9    0    9     Fw Khalilou Konaté        10    1   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 11 34 27 36        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 38 31 11    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 11 34 29 43         T O T A L S       15  0 45 31 12    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.53 (no red card)

Sw John Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.21 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.01 (no red card)

Df Bailey Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.17 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.6 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.88 (no red card)

Mf Noah Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.28 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.94 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.07 (no red card)

Fw Elias Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.27 (no red card)

Fw Craig Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.75 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.63 (no red card)

Df Exequiel Curbelo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.62 (no red card)

Df Patrick Kelly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.82 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.81 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.23 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.05 (no red card)

Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.64 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.38 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.78 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.25 (no red card)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 0.6 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Joshua Samed is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Joshua Samed new match skill level =  7
      Joshua Samed new match total level =  9
Sw John Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.53 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.0 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Stevens: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.05 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.46 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.42 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Clark: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.98 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.09 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Patrice Djemba is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Patrice Djemba new match skill level =  2
      Patrice Djemba new match total level =  4
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.04 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.48 (no injury) 
Fw Craig Alexander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.83 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 68.93 (no injury) 
Df Exequiel Curbelo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.66 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.92 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.62 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.76 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.12 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.55 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.7 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.7 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.77 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.21 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Victor Araújo SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 7

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       9  11  34  28  43
  Brighton & Hove Albion   15   0  45  31  12

Brighton & Hove Albion is using Offside Trap!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 45)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 8 ((34 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Bailey Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 36.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Bailey Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Bailey Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Sion Davey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Bailey Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 43.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   15   0  45  31  12
  Crewe Alexandra FC       9  11  34  28  43

Brighton & Hove Albion is Playing For A Draw!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 34)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 1 ((31 - 28) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 1 ((45 - 43) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Exequiel Curbelo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
 
Match Notes
3 points here would kick start or campaign
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/04 - 10:46 AM
You can probably bet on the win
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/04 - 2:22 PM
You’re welcome, Carl 😂🤣
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/10 - 7:58 PM
We squeaked that win
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/11 - 3:35 PM
 
 
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