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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Xavier Lambert         14    2   16     Gk Jordan Rose            14    2   16
Sw Ramires Jesus           7    2    9     Sw Khalifa Ba              2    2    4
Df Toshihiro Nakamura     13    2   15     Df Rasmus Antonsen         8    2   10
Df Jacob Beynon            7    2    9     Df Maciek Szymanski        4    2    6
Df Eirwyn Davey            4    2    6     Df Vasco Jorge             2    2    4
Df Alphonse Ngah           2    2    4     Mf Alvaro Rodríguez        7    2    9
Mf Peter Bengtsson        13    2   15     Mf Balla Diouf             4    2    6
Mf Marcus Teulet           7    2    9     Fw Lilian Cazenave        13    2   15
Mf Aliyu Edet              4    2    6     Fw Michael Lagerbäck      13    1   14
Fw Javier Gimenez          7    2    9     Fw Armin Seuffert          7    2    9
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek      3    2    5     Fw Ye-jun Ji               4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  9 34 30 14        ROSTER TOTALS      16  4 20 15 44    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  2  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 11 34 30 14         T O T A L S       18  4 20 15 44    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.4 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.19 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.92 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.43 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.12 (no red card)

Df Alphonse Ngah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.62 (no red card)

Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.41 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.38 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.41 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.31 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.31 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.07 (no red card)

Sw Khalifa Ba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.32 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.97 (no second yellow)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.68 (no red card)

Df Vasco Jorge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.22 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.85 (no red card)

Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.16 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.38 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.12 (no red card)

Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.04 (no red card)

Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.74 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.14 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.4 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.15 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.27 (no injury) 
Df Alphonse Ngah: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.59 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.0 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.4 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.02 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.99 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.94 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 58.25 (no injury) 
Sw Khalifa Ba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.58 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.13 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.39 (no injury) 
Df Vasco Jorge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.51 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.15 (no injury) 
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.87 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.01 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.88 (no injury) 
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.09 (no injury) 
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Toshihiro Nakamura SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 14

     intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lilian Cazenave SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 14

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          16  11  34  30  14
  Brentford FC             18   4  20  15  44

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 20)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 8 ((30 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             18   4  20  15  44
  Carlisle United          16  11  34  30  14

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 10 (44 - 34); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 2 ((20 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 64.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 39.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 27.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 64.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 2  -  BRENTFORD FC 0
 
Match Notes
Outplayed by Diamond Dave and Carlisle today. Good luck in the next round Dave.
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/22 - 10:19 PM
 
 
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