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Saturday, June 3rd, 2023 - 12:25:55 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 44 // Landing
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               BLYTH SPARTANS AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Killian Nicolle        17    2   19     Gk Paolo Mancini           2    2    4
Df Giles Willis            8    2   10     Df George Ruddle           6    2    8
Df Harris MacDonald        7    2    9     Df Adam Smith              2    2    4
Df Theo Abrahamsson        4    2    6     Df Jack Brady              2    2    4
Mf Min Kyung  Song         8    2   10     Df Angus McIntosh         12   -1   11
Mf Simon Shaw              4    2    6     Df Rory Mitchell          11   -1   10
Fw Evan Sutherland        13    2   15     Mf Alberto Rinaldi         8    2   10
Fw Ryan Tran              13    2   15     Mf Reece Morrissey         2    2    4
Fw Cooper Slater           8    2   10     Mf Logan Stewart          11   -1   10
Fw Jamie Sinclair          4    2    6     Fw Leon Walker             8    2   10
Fw Jack Williams           4    2    6     Fw Gordon Hunter           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  0 25 16 52        ROSTER TOTALS       4  0 37 24 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 25 18 52         T O T A L S        5  0 37 25 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Killian Nicolle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.86 (no red card)

Df Giles Willis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.58 (no red card)

Df Harris MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.45 (no red card)

Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.09 (no red card)

Mf Min Kyung  Song: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.26 (no red card)

Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.66 (no red card)

Fw Evan Sutherland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.89 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Tran: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.55 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Slater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.17 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.8 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.4 (no red card)

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Paolo Mancini: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 26.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 19.05 (no red card)

Df George Ruddle: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 91.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 46.57 (no red card)

Df Adam Smith: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 5.02 (no red card)

Df Jack Brady: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 50.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 46.65 (no red card)

Df Angus McIntosh: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 28.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 64.14 (no red card)

Df Rory Mitchell: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 36.99 (no red card)

Mf Alberto Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.01 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 5.97 (no second yellow)

Mf Reece Morrissey: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 84.33 (no second yellow)

Mf Logan Stewart: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 77.65 (no red card)

Fw Leon Walker: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 40.01 (no second yellow)

Fw Gordon Hunter: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 69.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 47.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Killian Nicolle: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 18.84 (no injury) 
Df Giles Willis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.39 (no injury) 
Df Harris MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.31 (no injury) 
Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.96 (no injury) 
Mf Min Kyung  Song: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.32 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.85 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Sutherland: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.25 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Tran: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.38 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Slater: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.14 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Sinclair: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.1 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.31 (no injury) 

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Paolo Mancini: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 89.88 (no injury) 
Df George Ruddle: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.61 (no injury) 
Df Adam Smith: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.91 (no injury) 
Df Jack Brady: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.94 (no injury) 
Df Angus McIntosh: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.76 (no injury) 
Df Rory Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.27 (no injury) 
Mf Alberto Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.2 (no injury) 
Mf Reece Morrissey: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.83 (no injury) 
Mf Logan Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.94 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Walker: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.32 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Hunter: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 36.33 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Evan Sutherland SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Paolo Mancini SL 2

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 97 (pk blocked)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Angus McIntosh SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Killian Nicolle SL 17

     intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             19   0  25  18  52
  Blyth Spartans AFC       5   0  37  25  18

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 15 (52 - 37); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 2 ((25 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Theo Abrahamsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 28.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Harris MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 52.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Ryan Tran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 69.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Cooper Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Cooper Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ryan Tran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Ryan Tran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Evan Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 10.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Evan Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 23.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Ryan Tran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 21.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 8.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Jamie Sinclair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 92.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 92.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Cooper Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Ryan Tran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 4.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Evan Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Cooper Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 25.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Blyth Spartans AFC       5   0  37  25  18
  Brentford FC             19   0  25  18  52

Blyth Spartans AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 25)
Blyth Spartans AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((25 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Blyth Spartans AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 52) / 5;  rounded up)
Blyth Spartans AFC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Alberto Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Logan Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Alberto Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 48.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Logan Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 4  -  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Tough draw for the commish here...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/13 - 1:21 AM
Hard fought win today. I see the haters picking Blyth today. I see you... 😎
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/13 - 10:07 PM
 
 
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