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Saturday, February 24th, 2024 - 05:00:18 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonas Lien             14    2   16     Gk Xavier Lambert          6    2    8
Df Alex Graham            13    2   15     Sw Lewis Russell          11    0   11
Df Benedicto Montiel      11    0   11     Df Jamie Aitken           10    0   10
Df Ashley Brown            8    2   10     Df Shay Finnan             9    1   10
Df Vieira Mendes           6    2    8     Df Toshihiro Nakamura      6    2    8
Mf Harrison Harewood      13    1   14     Df Jacob Beynon            3    2    5
Mf Ivan Vida              11    1   12     Mf Ben Ince               13    0   13
Mf Bertus De leeuw         6    2    8     Mf Jacek Frankowski        6    2    8
Fw Simon Schmidt          16    0   16     Mf Marcus Teulet           3    2    5
Fw Ayrton Bielsa          13    0   13     Fw Dafydd King             6    2    8
Fw Torben Thygesen         6    2    8     Fw Javier Gimenez          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 44 34 37        ROSTER TOTALS       8 11 33 26 13    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 44 39 41         T O T A L S       11 11 40 26 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 27.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 46.9 (no red card)

Df Alex Graham: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.48 (no red card)

Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.11 (no red card)

Df Ashley Brown: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.71 (no red card)

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.65 (no red card)

Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 3.67 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.01 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.24 (no red card)

Fw Simon Schmidt: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.35 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.99 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.27 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.74 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.21 (no red card)

Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.33 (no red card)

Df Shay Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.93 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.65 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.41 (no red card)

Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.04 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.28 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.92 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.13 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.96 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 65.0 (no injury) 
Df Alex Graham: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.92 (no injury) 
Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.32 (no injury) 
Df Ashley Brown: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 58.28 (no injury) 
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.1 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 89.31 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.94 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.22 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.68 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Bielsa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 31.74 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 37.16 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 16.63 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.2 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.21 (no injury) 
Df Shay Finnan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.64 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.59 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.7 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.58 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.55 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.9 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd King: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.18 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.86 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Schmidt SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 6

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ben Ince SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 96 (pk blocked)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          18   0  44  39  41
  Carlisle United          11  11  40  26  13

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 1 (41 - 40); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 7 ((39 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 7 ((44 - 13) / 5); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Benedicto Montiel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 41.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Ashley Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Alex Graham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Alex Graham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Alex Graham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Alex Graham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Alex Graham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Harrison Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Harrison Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Harrison Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          11  11  40  26  13
  Dorchester Town          18   0  44  39  41

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 44)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 0  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
If we want to stay up we need to take all three points. Good luck Dave.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/07 - 8:40 PM
Not entirely sure we deserved that point. Unlucky, Andy.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/11 - 3:17 AM
Yes Dave. Two points dropped for us but at least we didn’t lose!
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/13 - 6:16 PM
 
 
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