(H)
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
Port Vale FC
John Holden
League Round 3
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE PORT VALE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Kaies Ghodhbane 12 0 12 Gk Hyun Tae-yong 12 2 14 Sw Corey Patel 13 0 13 Sw Luca Cole 14 0 14 Df Cristóbal Sanchez 6 2 8 Df Sion Bowen 11 0 11 Df Marcel Pechet 3 2 5 Df Alessio Rinaldi 11 0 11 Mf Geoffrey Brakspear 13 0 13 Df Carsten Kragelund 3 2 5 Mf Tony Gueye 6 2 8 Mf Albert Ohrel 10 1 11 Mf Gareth Smith 3 2 5 Mf Hélder Carvalho 6 2 8 Fw Lincoln Roberts 13 0 13 Fw Filipe Alves 13 -2 11 Fw Yoo Young-pyo 12 0 12 Fw Reece Gray 15 0 15 Fw José Borges 6 2 8 Fw Andres Gutierrez 11 1 12 Fw Clement Kenne 3 2 5 Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 13 13 26 38 ROSTER TOTALS 14 14 27 19 46 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 12 13 22 26 38 T O T A L S 15 14 27 19 46 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Kaies Ghodhbane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.47 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.13 (no red card) Sw Corey Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.25 (no red card) Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.26 (no red card) Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.12 (no red card) Mf Geoffrey Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.94 (no red card) Mf Tony Gueye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.46 (no red card) Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.04 (no red card) Fw Lincoln Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.41 (no red card) Fw Yoo Young-pyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.44 (no red card) Fw José Borges: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.11 (no red card) Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.12 (no red card) ******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 90.07 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 23.2 (no red card) Sw Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.42 (no red card) Df Sion Bowen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.8 (no red card) Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.21 (no red card) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.08 (no red card) Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.94 (no red card) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.6 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.06 (no second yellow) Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.28 (no red card) Fw Reece Gray: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.84 (no red card) Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.87 (no red card) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.3 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0 - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Kaies Ghodhbane: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 52.62 (no injury) Sw Corey Patel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.73 (no injury) Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.42 (no injury) Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.61 (no injury) Mf Geoffrey Brakspear: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.36 (no injury) Mf Tony Gueye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.39 (no injury) Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.63 (no injury) Fw Lincoln Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.2 (no injury) Fw Yoo Young-pyo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.27 (no injury) Fw José Borges: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.44 (no injury) Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.2 (no injury) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 14.31 (no injury) Sw Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.03 (no injury) Df Sion Bowen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.1 (no injury) Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.38 (no injury) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.2 (no injury) Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.23 (no injury) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.6 (no injury) Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.7 (no injury) Fw Reece Gray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.38 (no injury) Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.44 (no injury) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.87 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Geoffrey Brakspear SL 13 - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Reece Gray SL 15 - Defending Gk: Kaies Ghodhbane SL 12 intRndPk = 24 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Dagenham & Redbridge 12 13 22 26 38 Port Vale FC 15 14 27 19 46 Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 11 (38 - 27); result rounded up Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 4 ((26 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 46) / 3; rounded up) Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 15 1: Attack for Mf Geoffrey Brakspear Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Gareth Smith Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Geoffrey Brakspear Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Geoffrey Brakspear Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 33.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 70.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Port Vale FC 15 14 27 19 46 Dagenham & Redbridge 12 13 22 26 38 Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 24 (46 - 22); result rounded up Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 38) / 3; rounded up) Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 24 1: Attack for Fw Reece Gray Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 35.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Reece Gray Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 83.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Reece Gray Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Reece Gray Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 70.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Reece Gray Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 76.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Reece Gray Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 33.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 99.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 17: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Reece Gray Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 5.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Reece Gray Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Reece Gray Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 0 - PORT VALE FC 4