(H)

Carlisle United
Dave Gittins

Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
League Round 3
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARLISLE UNITED HEREFORD UNITED FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Gregory Reyna 12 2 14 Gk Raymond Hamadou 9 2 11 Sw Ramires Jesus 13 0 13 Df Alan Cole 11 1 12 Df Jacob Beynon 13 1 14 Df Seny Sarr 9 2 11 Df Eirwyn Davey 12 2 14 Df Pius Haman 9 -1 8 Df Marco Sa 6 2 8 Df Tyler Long 6 0 6 Mf Marcus Teulet 12 1 13 Df Jarek Ryan 2 2 4 Mf Aliyu Edet 11 2 13 Df Arvid Thelin 2 2 4 Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 12 2 14 Mf Josh Jordan 6 0 6 Fw Javier Gimenez 14 1 15 Mf Toshihiro Hattori 6 2 8 Fw Ki Seon-min 12 0 12 Fw Lukasz Dudka 13 0 13 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 10 1 11 Fw Exequiel Gutierrez 10 2 12 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 13 36 26 52 ROSTER TOTALS 11 0 45 14 25 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 7 0 ======================================================================= 14 13 36 27 60 T O T A L S 11 0 45 21 25 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.12 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.23 (no red card) Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.47 (no red card) Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.21 (no red card) Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.13 (no red card) Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.86 (no red card) Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.79 (no red card) Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.78 (no red card) Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.58 (no red card) Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.14 (no red card) Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.4 (no red card) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.64 (no red card) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Raymond Hamadou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.19 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.9 (no red card) Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.82 (no red card) Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.31 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.47 (no second yellow) Df Pius Haman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.07 (no red card) Df Tyler Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.69 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.5 (no second yellow) Df Jarek Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.86 (no red card) Df Arvid Thelin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.89 (no red card) Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.96 (no red card) Mf Toshihiro Hattori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.06 (no red card) Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.45 (no red card) Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.54 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 64.66 (no injury) Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.47 (no injury) Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.29 (no injury) Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.94 (no injury) Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.54 (no injury) Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.52 (no injury) Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.44 (no injury) Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.1 (no injury) Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.27 (no injury) Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.35 (no injury) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.03 (no injury) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Raymond Hamadou: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 64.64 (no injury) Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.64 (no injury) Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.41 (no injury) Df Pius Haman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.26 (no injury) Df Tyler Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.3 (no injury) Df Jarek Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.75 (no injury) Df Arvid Thelin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.94 (no injury) Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.39 (no injury) Mf Toshihiro Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.06 (no injury) Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.22 (no injury) Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.69 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Javier Gimenez SL 14 - Defending Gk: Raymond Hamadou SL 9 intRndPk = 68 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Lukasz Dudka SL 13 - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 12 intRndPk = 85 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 14 13 36 27 60 Hereford United FC 11 0 45 21 25 Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 15 (60 - 45); result rounded up Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 3 ((27 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Carlisle United Df Attacks = 4 ((36 - 25) / 3); result rounded up Carlisle United Total Attacks = 22 1: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 35.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 59.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 29.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 86.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 81.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 98.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 79.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 13.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 84.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 12.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 50.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 3.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Hereford United FC 11 0 45 21 25 Carlisle United 14 13 36 27 60 Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw! Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 36) Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 27) / 2; rounded up) Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 60) / 5; rounded up) Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARLISLE UNITED 6 - HEREFORD UNITED FC 0