(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Riccardo Di matteo 15 2 17 Gk Kurt Östman 12 2 14
Sw Saul Aquino 11 2 13 Df Thiago Boniek 4 2 6
Df Felipe Pérez 12 0 12 Sw Moez Mhedhebi 10 0 10
Df Waldemar Skoras 11 2 13 Df Pathé Sané 7 1 8
Mf Hirving Borgetti 12 0 12 Df Martin Persson 6 2 8
Mf Seth Sibley 3 2 5 Df Mbaye Dieng 3 2 5
Fw Julien De Boeck 13 1 14 Mf Johnny Rieder 9 2 11
Fw Matty Begum 13 0 13 Mf Noah Martinez 6 2 8
Fw Edgar Jimenez 10 1 11 Mf Abel Peeters 3 2 5
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 6 2 8 Fw Atef Omar 6 2 8
Fw Valerio Paredes 6 2 8 Fw Keiron Chamberlain 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 13 25 17 54 ROSTER TOTALS 14 10 27 24 13
0 0 0 1 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
=======================================================================
17 13 25 21 60 T O T A L S 14 13 31 24 13
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.7 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.77 (no red card)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.94 (no red card)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.08 (no red card)
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.01 (no red card)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.81 (no red card)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.99 (no red card)
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.49 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.91 (no second yellow)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.51 (no red card)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.9 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.55 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.32 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.95 (no red card)
Df Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.15 (no red card)
Sw Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.16 (no red card)
Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.61 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.71 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.97 (no red card)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.98 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.73 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.27 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.44 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.5 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 10.97 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.8 (no injury)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.13 (no injury)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.74 (no injury)
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.49 (no injury)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.57 (no injury)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.66 (no injury)
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.51 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.77 (no injury)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.68 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.23 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 75.5 (no injury)
Df Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.16 (no injury)
Sw Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.0 (no injury)
Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.64 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.3 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.08 (no injury)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.18 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.58 (no injury)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.77 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.11 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.42 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Julien De Boeck SL 13
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 12
intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Johnny Rieder SL 9
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 17 13 25 21 60
Nottingham Forest 14 13 31 24 13
Watford Fw Attacks = 29 (60 - 31); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 4 ((25 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 33
1: Attack for Df Waldemar Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Waldemar Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 39.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Waldemar Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 1.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 49.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 46.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 20.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 41.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
29: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 91.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
31: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
32: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
33: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 14 13 31 24 13
Watford 17 13 25 21 60
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 25)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 21) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 60) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Noah Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
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F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 1 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
Robbed by JT - again!
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/01 - 6:18 PM