(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
League Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Riccardo Di matteo 13 1 14 Gk Ryan Vukovic 11 1 12
Sw Saul Aquino 13 0 13 Sw Bryn Gough 13 0 13
Df Walter McGree 12 -1 11 Df Mohamadou Sy 13 0 13
Df Keita Hattori 10 1 11 Df Robert Bak 11 0 11
Df Shoichi Morita 5 2 7 Df Pius Issa 5 2 7
Mf Seth Sibley 10 1 11 Mf Faustino Verón 11 0 11
Mf Callum Rowles 5 1 6 Mf Luca da Silva 5 2 7
Fw Valerio Paredes 13 0 13 Fw Evaristo Masis 13 0 13
Fw Edgar Jimenez 13 -1 12 Fw Si-Won Min-woo 13 0 13
Fw Julien De Boeck 10 0 10 Fw Syam Arfaoui 9 0 9
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 8 1 9 Fw Danylo Morozov 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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14 13 29 17 44 ROSTER TOTALS 12 13 31 18 43
0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 8 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 13 30 18 52 T O T A L S 12 13 31 18 43
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.29 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.66 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.66 (no red card)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.3 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.42 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.56 (no red card)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.26 (no red card)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.33 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.07 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.14 (no red card)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.69 (no red card)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.53 (no red card)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.32 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.79 (no red card)
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.24 (no red card)
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.49 (no red card)
Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.01 (no red card)
Df Pius Issa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.88 (no red card)
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.1 (no red card)
Mf Luca da Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.92 (no red card)
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.5 (no red card)
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.36 (no red card)
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.74 (no red card)
Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.06 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 35.06 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.04 (no injury)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.07 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.18 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.44 (no injury)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.54 (no injury)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.47 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.28 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.68 (no injury)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.88 (no injury)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.51 (no injury)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 87.91 (no injury)
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.34 (no injury)
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.57 (no injury)
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.73 (no injury)
Df Pius Issa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.62 (no injury)
Mf Faustino Verón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.45 (no injury)
Mf Luca da Silva: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.59 (no injury)
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.99 (no injury)
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.79 (no injury)
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.18 (no injury)
Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.3 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Valerio Paredes SL 13
- Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 11
intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mohamadou Sy SL 13
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 14 13 30 18 52
Plymouth Argyle FC 12 13 31 18 43
Watford Fw Attacks = 21 (52 - 31); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 18) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 43) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 21
1: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 60.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 59.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 23.89 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 60.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 84.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 63.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Plymouth Argyle FC 12 13 31 18 43
Watford 14 13 30 18 52
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 13 (43 - 30); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 18) / 2; rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 55.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 20.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 62.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 52.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 2 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
Match Notes
Starting off league play and everyone has already written PLY off.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/31 - 3:18 PM
Sadly, this seems appropriate. The numbers were very even, but HFA put Watford over the top.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/07 - 2:52 PM
Though SW Aquino stopping 9 of 13 attacks seems a bit over the top.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/07 - 2:53 PM