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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Héctor Medrano         16    2   18     Gk Jonathan Kome          16    2   18
Df Yuriy Polishchuk       15    0   15     Sw Mbaye Dieng            11    2   13
Df Saul Arteaga           10    2   12     Df Martin Persson         13    2   15
Df Edilberto Moreno       10    2   12     Df Nicomedes Martino      11   -1   10
Mf Edwin O'Kelly          16    0   16     Df Jean Courtial           9    1   10
Mf Dani Paqueta           16    0   16     Mf Taha Tagnaouti         10    2   12
Mf Steen Clausen          10    1   11     Mf Kaue de Santos         10    2   12
Mf Sung Yong              10    1   11     Fw Ederson Fabinho        13    2   15
Fw Julio Morales          16    0   16     Fw Keiron Chamberlain     13    2   15
Fw Mario Barrios          10    1   11     Fw Atef Omar              13   -2   11
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    10    1   11     Fw Rico Santambrogio       7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 39 54 38        ROSTER TOTALS      18 13 35 24 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 39 63 38         T O T A L S       18 13 35 24 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.91 (no red card)

Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.47 (no red card)

Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.34 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.48 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.42 (no red card)

Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.04 (no red card)

Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.62 (no red card)

Mf Sung Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.85 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.71 (no red card)

Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.99 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.34 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.71 (no red card)

Sw Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.16 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.68 (no red card)

Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.81 (no red card)

Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.22 (no red card)

Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.77 (no red card)

Mf Kaue de Santos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.62 (no second yellow)

Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.47 (no red card)

Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.14 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.63 (no red card)

Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.02 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.02 (no injury) 
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.51 (no injury) 
Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.82 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.69 (no injury) 
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.41 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Edwin O'Kelly is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Edwin O'Kelly new match skill level =  8
      Edwin O'Kelly new match total level =  8
Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.74 (no injury) 
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.16 (no injury) 
Mf Sung Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.29 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.31 (no injury) 
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.18 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.58 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 58.94 (no injury) 
Sw Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.2 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.04 (no injury) 
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.05 (no injury) 
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.59 (no injury) 
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.63 (no injury) 
Mf Kaue de Santos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.58 (no injury) 
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.78 (no injury) 
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.19 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.77 (no injury) 
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dani Paqueta SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Persson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 16

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          18   0  39  55  38
  Nottingham Forest        18  13  35  24  50

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 3 (38 - 35); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 16 ((55 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 50) / 5;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 14.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 5.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Mario Barrios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Mario Barrios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        18  13  35  24  50
  Chesterfield FC          18   0  39  55  38

Chesterfield FC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 6 (50 - 39) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 55) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 7.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 30.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 50.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 0  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
Match Notes
Deing was disappointing but Kome made up for it. Fortunate to get a draw.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/14 - 7:29 PM
 
 
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