(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18 Gk Alexander Bach 16 2 18
Sw Thiago Boniek 16 2 18 Df Goronwy Wright 13 2 15
Df Martin Persson 13 2 15 Df Radoslaw Kaminski 12 1 13
Df Gualberto Burgos 12 2 14 Df Léon Velardi 7 2 9
Df Nicomedes Martino 8 2 10 Mf Denis Fellaini 14 2 16
Mf Noah Martinez 11 2 13 Mf Tomasz Lewandowski 11 2 13
Fw Abel Peeters 8 2 10 Mf Andrej Kovac 8 2 10
Mf Taha Tagnaouti 7 2 9 Fw Mohammed Gyasi 13 2 15
Fw Atef Omar 13 2 15 Mf Torben Thygesen 8 2 10
Fw Keiron Chamberlain 12 2 14 Fw Dario Sucic 8 2 10
Fw Óscar Vargas 9 1 10 Fw Nii Mingle 12 2 14
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 18 39 22 49 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 37 49 39
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 3 4 0
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18 18 39 22 58 T O T A L S 21 0 40 53 39
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.12 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.15 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.32 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.77 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.04 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.49 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.83 (no red card)
Fw Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.51 (no red card)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.45 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.19 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.97 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.05 (no red card)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 25.82 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 61.83 (no red card)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.09 (no red card)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.28 (no red card)
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.15 (no red card)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.66 (no red card)
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.47 (no red card)
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.26 (no red card)
Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.48 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.8 (no second yellow)
Mf Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.98 (no red card)
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.53 (no red card)
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.84 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 57.97 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.33 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.85 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.31 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.63 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.44 (no injury)
Fw Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.02 (no injury)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.09 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.66 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Atef Omar is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Atef Omar new match skill level = 7
Atef Omar new match total level = 9
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.83 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.76 (no injury)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 17.86 (no injury)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.92 (no injury)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.78 (no injury)
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.43 (no injury)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.57 (no injury)
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.28 (no injury)
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.98 (no injury)
Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.28 (no injury)
Mf Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.82 (no injury)
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.48 (no injury)
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.42 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Martin Persson SL 13
- Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Denis Fellaini SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 18 39 22 52
Weston-super-Mare AFC 21 0 40 53 39
Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 6 (52 - 40) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 53) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 39) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 27.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Abel Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 59.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 88.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 58.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Weston-super-Mare AFC 21 0 40 53 39
Nottingham Forest 18 18 39 22 52
Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 39)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 8 ((53 - 22) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 52) / 5; rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
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F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
Match Notes
well i can confidently predict we have no chance here
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/27 - 8:23 AM
I knew something was up when we didn't seem to be getting enough shots but fortunately our SW played a blinder.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/28 - 7:35 PM