(H)
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARDIFF CITY FC CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos 14 2 16 Gk Per Holmdahl 10 2 12
Sw Lewis Kane 11 2 13 Sw Roman Müller 11 2 13
Df Mark O'Byrne 12 2 14 Df Magnus Waering 13 2 15
Df Nick Jacobs 10 2 12 Df Joe Wilson 12 2 14
Mf Russell Baccus 10 1 11 Df Dominique Coltorti 7 2 9
Mf Tim Murphy 9 2 11 Mf Ivan Jackson 12 2 14
Fw Fabrice Ndi 16 2 18 Mf Mario Pletikosa 9 2 11
Fw Leonardo Alonso 13 1 14 Mf Marko Zabel 7 2 9
Fw Edson Blanco 12 1 13 Fw Bassem Mkademi 13 2 15
Fw Gustavo Pavon 11 1 12 Fw Obed Issaka 12 2 14
Fw Tomas Eriksson 8 2 10 Fw Zvonimir Bradaric 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
16 13 26 22 67 ROSTER TOTALS 12 13 38 34 41
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 13 26 25 73 T O T A L S 12 13 38 34 41
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.79 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.2 (no red card)
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.3 (no red card)
Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.89 (no red card)
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.49 (no red card)
Mf Russell Baccus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.37 (no red card)
Mf Tim Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.35 (no red card)
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.75 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.58 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.2 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
Leonardo Alonso new match skill level = 7
Leonardo Alonso new match total level = 8
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.24 (no red card)
Fw Gustavo Pavon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.16 (no red card)
Fw Tomas Eriksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.5 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.72 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.46 (no red card)
Sw Roman Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.45 (no red card)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.25 (no red card)
Df Joe Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.65 (no red card)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.07 (no red card)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.67 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Ivan Jackson new match skill level = 6
Ivan Jackson new match total level = 8
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.98 (no red card)
Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.5 (no red card)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.71 (no red card)
Fw Obed Issaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.1 (no red card)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.63 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 86.4 (no injury)
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.2 (no injury)
Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.03 (no injury)
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.31 (no injury)
Mf Russell Baccus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.72 (no injury)
Mf Tim Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.2 (no injury)
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.94 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.26 (no injury)
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.53 (no injury)
Fw Gustavo Pavon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.28 (no injury)
Fw Tomas Eriksson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.7 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 66.25 (no injury)
Sw Roman Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.72 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Roman Müller is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.71 (no injury)
Df Joe Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.73 (no injury)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.94 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.35 (no injury)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.59 (no injury)
Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.66 (no injury)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.47 (no injury)
Fw Obed Issaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.73 (no injury)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.72 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Fabrice Ndi SL 16
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 10
intRndPk = 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Magnus Waering SL 13
- Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 14
intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Cardiff City FC 16 13 26 25 67
Crewe Alexandra FC 12 13 38 28 41
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 29 (67 - 38); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 41) / 3; rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 29
1: Attack for Fw Tomas Eriksson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 77.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 28.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 69.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 10.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 57.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 70.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
25: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 90.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
28: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
29: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 12 13 38 28 41
Cardiff City FC 16 13 26 25 67
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 15 (41 - 26); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 67) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 53.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 95.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Obed Issaka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Obed Issaka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 30.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 23.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 86.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Obed Issaka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Obed Issaka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARDIFF CITY FC 4 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2
Match Notes
Cautious Carl rolling into Cardiff — Checklist Carl with his clipboard and his low-risk nonsense. Wilkes needs to pin him back early or he'll park that bus and bore out a point.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 6 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
We would take a point away to Cardiff
~ Carl ~ Jun 8 (Crewe Alexandra FC)
Lost 4-0 earlier in season and I’m bottom of league I need some pride back here
~ Graham ~ Jun 13 (Cardiff City FC)
Four goals at home, Wilkes. Still not sure where you want to be? Checklist Carl brought nowt but a system and Cardiff tore it apart. Bounce back alright.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 13 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
Battered by Cardiff today
~ Carl ~ Jun 14 (Crewe Alexandra FC)