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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            CHESTERFIELD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alexander Bach         16    2   18     Gk Héctor Medrano         16    2   18
Sw Blerim Omlin           14    2   16     Df Yuriy Polishchuk       15    0   15
Df Martin Morales         13    2   15     Df Saul Arteaga           10    2   12
Df Carsten Eriksen        10    2   12     Df Edilberto Moreno       10    2   12
Mf José Salvio            10    2   12     Mf Edwin O'Kelly          16    0   16
Mf Kris Walker             9    2   11     Mf Dani Paqueta           16    0   16
Fw Chibuikem Thomas       15    2   17     Mf Steen Clausen          10    1   11
Fw Robbie Murphy          13    2   15     Mf Sung Yong              10    1   11
Fw Kwadwo Djiku           12    2   14     Mf Alfie Campbell          8    2   10
Fw Valentyn Shulga        16    2   18     Fw Julio Morales          16    0   16
Fw Yun-u Seung-woo         8    2   10     Fw Marcos Talavera         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 27 23 74        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 39 64 26    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 16 27 27 79         T O T A L S       18  0 39 64 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 54.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 65.15 (no red card)

Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.63 (no red card)

Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.25 (no red card)

Df Carsten Eriksen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.71 (no red card)

Mf José Salvio: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.71 (no red card)

Mf Kris Walker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.65 (no red card)

Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.23 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.87 (no red card)

Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.7 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.13 (no red card)

Fw Yun-u Seung-woo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.22 (no red card)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.21 (no red card)

Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.44 (no red card)

Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.72 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.85 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.51 (no red card)

Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.46 (no red card)

Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.29 (no red card)

Mf Sung Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.47 (no red card)

Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.11 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.0 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.22 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Marcos Talavera new match skill level =  4
      Marcos Talavera new match total level =  6
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 40.68 (no injury) 
Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.25 (no injury) 
Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.23 (no injury) 
Df Carsten Eriksen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.63 (no injury) 
Mf José Salvio: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.4 (no injury) 
Mf Kris Walker: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.44 (no injury) 
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.3 (no injury) 
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.68 (no injury) 
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.83 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.41 (no injury) 
Fw Yun-u Seung-woo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.96 (no injury) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 71.55 (no injury) 
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.71 (no injury) 
Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.7 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.79 (no injury) 
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.52 (no injury) 
Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.7 (no injury) 
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.94 (no injury) 
Mf Sung Yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.67 (no injury) 
Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.79 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.31 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.33 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Valentyn Shulga SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 16

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edwin O'Kelly SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          19  16  27  27  79
  Chesterfield FC          18   0  39  64  22

Chesterfield FC is using Offside Trap!
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 20 (79 - 39) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 64) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 2 ((27 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Martin Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Carsten Eriksen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Yun-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 73.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Yun-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          18   0  39  64  22
  Tranmere Rovers          19  16  27  27  79

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 27)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 19 ((64 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 79) / 5;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 88.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 19.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 69.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 94.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 70.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 43.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 1  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 2
 
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