(H)
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Timothy James 14 2 16 Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko 14 2 16
Sw Randall Gutiérrez 11 1 12 Sw Toni Meyer 11 2 13
Df Ado Di matteo 13 2 15 Df Goronwy Wright 13 2 15
Df Herman Lambert 13 1 14 Df Léon Velardi 10 2 12
Mf Mats Larsson 11 2 13 Df Marek Murphy 10 2 12
Mf Abdel Baya 9 2 11 Df Radoslaw Kaminski 9 2 11
Fw Alhassan Baffoe 12 2 14 Df Rory Kelly 7 2 9
Fw Jakub Fabianski 14 1 15 Mf Andrej Kovac 13 2 15
Fw Wladimir Groen 10 1 11 Mf Denis Fellaini 13 2 15
Fw Salvatore De luca 7 2 9 Fw Sven Skog 15 2 17
Fw Héctor Masis 6 2 8 Fw Younes Regragui 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 12 29 24 57 ROSTER TOTALS 16 13 59 30 32
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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16 12 29 24 66 T O T A L S 17 13 59 30 32
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.69 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.95 (no red card)
Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.96 (no red card)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.81 (no red card)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.05 (no red card)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.8 (no red card)
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.25 (no red card)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.11 (no red card)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.54 (no red card)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.3 (no red card)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.22 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.14 (no second yellow)
Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.61 (no red card)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.72 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 35.03 (no red card)
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.21 (no red card)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.8 (no red card)
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.62 (no red card)
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.12 (no red card)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.55 (no red card)
Df Rory Kelly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.53 (no red card)
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.18 (no red card)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.66 (no red card)
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.11 (no red card)
Fw Younes Regragui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.3 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 77.64 (no injury)
Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.97 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Randall Gutiérrez is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Randall Gutiérrez new match skill level = 6
Randall Gutiérrez new match total level = 7
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.11 (no injury)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.06 (no injury)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.28 (no injury)
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.82 (no injury)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.11 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.45 (no injury)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.3 (no injury)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.56 (no injury)
Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.83 (no injury)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 15.79 (no injury)
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.0 (no injury)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.87 (no injury)
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.33 (no injury)
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.92 (no injury)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.07 (no injury)
Df Rory Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.11 (no injury)
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.8 (no injury)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.97 (no injury)
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.46 (no injury)
Fw Younes Regragui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.91 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jakub Fabianski SL 14
- Defending Gk: Valentyn Tymoshenko SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sven Skog SL 15
- Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 14
intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 16 7 29 24 66
Weston-super-Mare AFC 17 13 59 30 32
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 7 (66 - 59); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 32) / 3; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Fw Héctor Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Weston-super-Mare AFC 17 13 59 30 32
Oldham Athletic AFC 16 7 29 24 66
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 3 (32 - 29); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((59 - 66) / 3; rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 17.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1 - WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
Match Notes
A little revenge to be had! Will the Owls manage to tame the Seagulls?
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/14 - 7:39 AM
lucky !
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/14 - 6:06 PM