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Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Timothy James          14    2   16     Gk Yahya Amara             8    2   10
Sw Ado Di matteo          12    2   14     Sw Ji-An Sang-chul        17    2   19
Df Herman Lambert         13    1   14     Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk     13    2   15
Df Zinedine Castex        11    2   13     Df Brian Finnan           12    2   14
Mf Mats Larsson           11    2   13     Df Hiroki Ueda             8    2   10
Mf Acario Finizio          8    2   10     Df Joseph Hamadou          4    2    6
Fw Alhassan Baffoe        12    2   14     Mf Stjepan Grbic          12    2   14
Fw Jakub Fabianski        14    1   15     Mf Ben Goodwin             8    2   10
Fw Wladimir Groen         10    1   11     Mf Dylan Bevan             4    2    6
Fw Salvatore De luca       8    2   10     Fw Stewart Scholes         8    2   10
Fw Héctor Masis            6    2    8     Fw Mateusz Karas           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 27 23 58        ROSTER TOTALS      10 19 45 30 16    
       0  2  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 16 27 23 67         T O T A L S       10 22 49 30 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.35 (no red card)

Sw Ado Di matteo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 47.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.86 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.48 (no second yellow)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.86 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.55 (no red card)

Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.89 (no red card)

Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.95 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.49 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.18 (no second yellow)

Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.76 (no second yellow)

Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.02 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Yahya Amara: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.9 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.34 (no red card)

Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.3 (no red card)

Df Brian Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.98 (no red card)

Df Hiroki Ueda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.38 (no red card)

Df Joseph Hamadou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.72 (no red card)

Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.45 (no red card)

Mf Ben Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.25 (no second yellow)

Mf Dylan Bevan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.34 (no second yellow)

Fw Stewart Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.11 (no red card)

Fw Mateusz Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 71.53 (no injury) 
Sw Ado Di matteo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 77.32 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.99 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.5 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 8.72 (no injury) 
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.78 (no injury) 
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.71 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.38 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.4 (no injury) 
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.27 (no injury) 
Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.86 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Héctor Masis is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Héctor Masis new match skill level =  3
      Héctor Masis new match total level =  5

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Yahya Amara: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 52.02 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.55 (no injury) 
Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.32 (no injury) 
Df Brian Finnan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.68 (no injury) 
Df Hiroki Ueda: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.62 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Hamadou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.58 (no injury) 
Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.14 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.44 (no injury) 
Mf Dylan Bevan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.67 (no injury) 
Fw Stewart Scholes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.32 (no injury) 
Fw Mateusz Karas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.4 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jakub Fabianski SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Yahya Amara SL 8

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kostyantyn Pavlyuk SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      16  16  27  23  64
  Queens Park Rangers      10  22  49  30  16

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 15 (64 - 49); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((27 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 73 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 47.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 36.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 35.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 36.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 7.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 47.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Héctor Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      10  22  49  30  16
  Oldham Athletic AFC      16  16  27  23  64

Queens Park Rangers is Playing For A Draw!
Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 27)
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Dylan Bevan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 52.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Stjepan Grbic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
Match Notes
As always... The desire to keep our stadium impregnable
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/21 - 1:23 PM
Sometimes it’s the opposing team that gets lucky!
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/21 - 6:15 PM
 
 
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