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Friday, March 6th, 2026 - 11:51:12 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Steven Chapuisat       14    2   16     Gk Per Holmdahl           13    2   15
Sw Woo Hyun-soo           14    1   15     Sw Tommy McGree            8    2   10
Df Emir Selmi             14    2   16     Df Jack Nabbout           13    2   15
Df Aldair Gallardo         8    2   10     Df Magnus Waering          8    2   10
Df Martin Paredes          8    2   10     Df Dominique Coltorti      4    2    6
Mf Marc Bürki              8    2   10     Mf Óscar Cota             13    2   15
Mf Kliment Ivanova         4    2    6     Mf Smahi Youssef           9    2   11
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong   13    1   14     Mf Clement Harouna         4    2    6
Fw Martin Jashari         13    1   14     Fw Gonzalo Lopez          14    2   16
Fw Benedicto Ortega       15    0   15     Fw Olivier Havet           9    2   11
Fw Thiago Araujo           8    2   10     Fw Kalle Ljungberg         4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 36 16 53        ROSTER TOTALS      15 10 31 32 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 36 21 63         T O T A L S       15 13 35 32 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Steven Chapuisat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.17 (no red card)

Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.0 (no red card)

Df Emir Selmi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.72 (no red card)

Df Aldair Gallardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.78 (no red card)

Df Martin Paredes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.99 (no red card)

Mf Marc Bürki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.4 (no red card)

Mf Kliment Ivanova: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.9 (no red card)

Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.29 (no red card)

Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.0 (no red card)

Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.2 (no red card)

Fw Thiago Araujo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.99 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.37 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.69 (no red card)

Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.58 (no red card)

Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.5 (no red card)

Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.06 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.72 (no red card)

Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.43 (no red card)

Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.04 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.14 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.14 (no red card)

Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Steven Chapuisat: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.73 (no injury) 
Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.98 (no injury) 
Df Emir Selmi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.43 (no injury) 
Df Aldair Gallardo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.99 (no injury) 
Df Martin Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.03 (no injury) 
Mf Marc Bürki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.9 (no injury) 
Mf Kliment Ivanova: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.89 (no injury) 
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.89 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.42 (no injury) 
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.66 (no injury) 
Fw Thiago Araujo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.3 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 66.01 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.89 (no injury) 
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.35 (no injury) 
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.71 (no injury) 
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.69 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.88 (no injury) 
Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.04 (no injury) 
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.83 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.48 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.74 (no injury) 
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Benedicto Ortega SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 13

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gonzalo Lopez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Steven Chapuisat SL 14

     intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          16  15  36  21  63
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  13  35  32  33

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 28 (63 - 35); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((36 - 33) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Emir Selmi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 33.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 66.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 90.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 45.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 25.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Thiago Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Thiago Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 14.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 37.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Thiago Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 9.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Martin Jashari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 32.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  13  35  32  33
  Lincoln City FC          16  15  36  21  63

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 36)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((32 - 21) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 29.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
Match Notes
Can we take advantage of home advantage
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/22 - 11:42 AM  
Disappointed we couldn’t manage a draw. Delighted we kept the beating to 2
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/01 - 9:45 AM  
 
 
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