Brentford's forward line is absolutely overwhelming Vale today — that's a mismatch plain and simple, and Aguilera up front on his own can't hurt us. Kosowski in goal won't be tested much but when he is, he'll be solid — Port Vale barely sniff the box. Tight game, one goal does it, and that's enough.

Brentford's forward line has a near-threefold advantage in attacking output, and with that Groundsman boost adding eight to their forward area, Port Vale's defence is going to have a very long afternoon. I'd expect Claudio Zappi or Lance James to find a way through before the hour mark — Port Vale's defensive coverage simply doesn't match the problem they're being asked to solve. Two attacks against seventeen tells you everything about how Port Vale intend to survive this, and unfortunately for them, intent isn't a tactical system.