(H)
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARDIFF CITY FC WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos 9 2 11 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 15 2 17
Sw David Lemaigre 14 2 16 Sw Saul Aquino 13 0 13
Df Gregory Robinson 14 2 16 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 17 1 18
Df Eric Campbell 16 2 18 Df Keita Hattori 14 2 16
Mf Artur Zalewski 14 2 16 Df Shoichi Morita 9 2 11
Mf Jeong Yong 12 2 14 Mf Tin Perisic 15 -1 14
Fw Héctor Vasquez 14 2 16 Mf Callum Rowles 9 2 11
Fw Gaëtan Chair 13 2 15 Fw Valerio Paredes 16 2 18
Fw Jair Sanchez 11 2 13 Fw Takao Soma 16 2 18
Fw Leonardo Alonso 9 2 11 Fw Edgar Jimenez 13 1 14
Fw Fabrice Ndi 9 2 11 Fw Djonno De boer 9 1 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
11 16 34 30 66 ROSTER TOTALS 17 13 45 25 60
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 16 34 30 75 T O T A L S 20 13 46 25 60
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.5 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.65 (no red card)
Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.1 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.67 (no second yellow)
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.04 (no red card)
Df Eric Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.68 (no red card)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.88 (no red card)
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.21 (no red card)
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.42 (no red card)
Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.32 (no red card)
Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.66 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.36 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.42 (no second yellow)
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.19 (no red card)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.28 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.25 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.43 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.24 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.84 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.21 (no red card)
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.75 (no red card)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.7 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.96 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.99 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.84 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 86.15 (no injury)
Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.34 (no injury)
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.77 (no injury)
Df Eric Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.14 (no injury)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.5 (no injury)
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.72 (no injury)
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.12 (no injury)
Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.86 (no injury)
Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.46 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.21 (no injury)
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.1 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 84.77 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.99 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.89 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.49 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.37 (no injury)
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.71 (no injury)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.44 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.84 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.34 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.64 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.48 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eric Campbell SL 16
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 62 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 17
- Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 9
intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Cardiff City FC 14 16 34 30 75
Watford 20 13 46 25 60
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 29 (75 - 46); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 60) / 3; rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 32
1: Attack for Mf Jeong Yong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 78.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Jeong Yong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 20.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 11.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 66.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 81.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 83.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
29: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 27.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
32: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 20 13 46 25 60
Cardiff City FC 14 16 34 30 75
Watford Fw Attacks = 26 (60 - 34); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 75) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 26
1: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 81.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 68.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 47.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARDIFF CITY FC 2 - WATFORD 1
Match Notes
Absolutely no pressure here in 7v8
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 07/16 - 8:58 PM
Last 10 games head to head
Cardiff won 2
Watford won 5
Draws were 3
It’s not in bluebirds favour here
However we did win 5-2 at vicarage road earlier in season
Cardiff won 2
Watford won 5
Draws were 3
It’s not in bluebirds favour here
However we did win 5-2 at vicarage road earlier in season
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 07/16 - 9:01 PM