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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Vukovic           15    2   17     Gk Noah Okafor             9    2   11
Sw Hamdi Trabelsi         15    1   16     Sw Ibra Gueye             13    2   15
Df Shiro Minamino         14    2   16     Df Svend Kragh            13    2   15
Df Pius Issa              13    2   15     Df Mbaye Dieng            16    2   18
Df Faustino Simeone        9    2   11     Df Nicomedes Martino      12    2   14
Mf Min-Jun Sung            9    2   11     Df Pieter Willems          9    2   11
Mf Ashley Pickford         5    2    7     Mf Paul Simons             9    2   11
Fw Marcos Sánchez         15    2   17     Mf Roberto Garrido         4    2    6
Fw Farzan Vestergaard     15    0   15     Fw Ghaith Abid             9    2   11
Fw Yarik Gavrilyuk        11    2   13     Fw Owen Chamberlain        5    2    7
Fw Charlie King            9    2   11     Mf Mohcine Youssef         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 42 18 56        ROSTER TOTALS      11 15 58 22 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 42 21 62         T O T A L S       11 18 62 22 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.46 (no red card)

Sw Hamdi Trabelsi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.42 (no red card)

Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.5 (no red card)

Df Pius Issa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.15 (no red card)

Df Faustino Simeone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.92 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.01 (no second yellow)

Mf Min-Jun Sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.86 (no red card)

Mf Ashley Pickford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.65 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Sánchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.67 (no red card)

Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.69 (no red card)

Fw Yarik Gavrilyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.55 (no red card)

Fw Charlie King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.08 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.04 (no red card)

Sw Ibra Gueye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.12 (no red card)

Df Svend Kragh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.77 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.12 (no red card)

Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.64 (no red card)

Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.33 (no red card)

Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.88 (no red card)

Mf Roberto Garrido: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.8 (no red card)

Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.73 (no red card)

Fw Owen Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.11 (no red card)

Mf Mohcine Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.1 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.51 (no injury) 
Sw Hamdi Trabelsi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.63 (no injury) 
Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.75 (no injury) 
Df Pius Issa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.84 (no injury) 
Df Faustino Simeone: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.06 (no injury) 
Mf Min-Jun Sung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.28 (no injury) 
Mf Ashley Pickford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.75 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Sánchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.27 (no injury) 
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.26 (no injury) 
Fw Yarik Gavrilyuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.82 (no injury) 
Fw Charlie King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.38 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.17 (no injury) 
Sw Ibra Gueye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.2 (no injury) 
Df Svend Kragh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.96 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.21 (no injury) 
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.35 (no injury) 
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.06 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.41 (no injury) 
Mf Roberto Garrido: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.65 (no injury) 
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.68 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.55 (no injury) 
Mf Mohcine Youssef: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.76 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marcos Sánchez SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Noah Okafor SL 9

     intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 15

     intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17  16  42  21  62
  Nottingham Forest        11  18  62  22  18

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (62 - 62)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 8 ((42 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Shiro Minamino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Shiro Minamino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 50.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Shiro Minamino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Faustino Simeone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 20.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Pius Issa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Shiro Minamino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Faustino Simeone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Pius Issa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        11  18  62  22  18
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17  16  42  21  62

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 42)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 21) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((62 - 62) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 

Match Notes

Boston Rob's got the squad value, the attacking intent, and the chronic trophy drought to prove it means nothing. Olmec Steve arrives quietly. That's usually how it ends.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jun 27 (Coventry City)  
We NEED 3 points from this match.
~ Rob ~ Jul 3 (Plymouth Argyle FC)  
A 0-0 at home for Boston Rob — all that player value, all that attacking philosophy, and Olmec Steve quietly takes a point and leaves. Efficient.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jul 4 (Coventry City)  
The annoying thing is I played the session perfectly but the first game scuppered me
~ Steve ~ Jul 4 (Nottingham Forest)  
We got stymied by a manager who knows his tactics
~ Rob ~ Jul 10 (Plymouth Argyle FC)  
I'm afraid this cost me my shot at the title
~ Rob ~ Jul 10 (Plymouth Argyle FC)  
 
 
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