(H)

Watford
James Tucker

Port Vale FC
John Holden
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD PORT VALE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Riccardo Di matteo 15 2 17 Gk Hyun Tae-yong 15 1 16 Sw Saul Aquino 13 0 13 Sw Fokke Taylor 15 1 16 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 17 1 18 Df Carsten Kragelund 15 0 15 Df Keita Hattori 14 2 16 Df Philipp Vogel 13 2 15 Df Shoichi Morita 9 2 11 Df Sven Thoren 9 2 11 Mf Tin Perisic 15 -1 14 Mf Santiago Villa 15 0 15 Mf Callum Rowles 9 2 11 Mf Alan Herdman 9 2 11 Fw Valerio Paredes 16 2 18 Fw Adam Vasilev 15 2 17 Fw Takao Soma 16 2 18 Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 18 -1 17 Fw Edgar Jimenez 13 1 14 Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti 12 2 14 Fw Djonno De boer 9 1 10 Fw Hermidio Rivera 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 13 45 25 60 ROSTER TOTALS 16 16 41 26 59 0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 13 55 25 60 T O T A L S 19 16 41 26 59 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.97 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.76 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.24 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.96 (no second yellow) Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.97 (no red card) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.97 (no red card) Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.04 (no red card) Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.22 (no red card) Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.47 (no red card) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.15 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.06 (no second yellow) Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.75 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.14 (no red card) Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.64 (no red card) ******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.62 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.2 (no red card) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.03 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.5 (no second yellow) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.47 (no red card) Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.97 (no red card) Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.31 (no red card) Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.75 (no red card) Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.19 (no red card) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.46 (no red card) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.56 (no red card) Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.53 (no red card) Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.83 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.88 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.47 (no injury) Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.57 (no injury) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.75 (no injury) Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.29 (no injury) Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.14 (no injury) Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.55 (no injury) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.76 (no injury) Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.49 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.83 (no injury) Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.04 (no injury) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 8.78 (no injury) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.53 (no injury) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.12 (no injury) Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.47 (no injury) Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.19 (no injury) Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.76 (no injury) Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.44 (no injury) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.64 (no injury) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.55 (no injury) Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.12 (no injury) Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.17 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 17 - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15 intRndPk = 8 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 18 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 20 13 55 25 60 Port Vale FC 19 16 41 26 59 Watford Fw Attacks = 19 (60 - 41); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 59) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 19 1: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 68.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 10.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 64.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 13.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) ******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Port Vale FC 19 16 41 26 59 Watford 20 13 55 25 60 Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 4 (59 - 55); result rounded up Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 60) / 3; rounded up) Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Mf Santiago Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 84.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 0 - PORT VALE FC 0
Match Notes

We had a very even rivalry for 18 seasons, Watford then pulled way ahead, we're coming back of late
John (Port Vale FC) 07/13 - 4:36 PM