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Watford
James Tucker
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Riccardo Di matteo     15    2   17     Gk Hyun Tae-yong          15    1   16
Sw Saul Aquino            13    0   13     Sw Fokke Taylor           15    1   16
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk       17    1   18     Df Carsten Kragelund      15    0   15
Df Keita Hattori          14    2   16     Df Philipp Vogel          13    2   15
Df Shoichi Morita          9    2   11     Df Sven Thoren             9    2   11
Mf Tin Perisic            15   -1   14     Mf Santiago Villa         15    0   15
Mf Callum Rowles           9    2   11     Mf Alan Herdman            9    2   11
Fw Valerio Paredes        16    2   18     Fw Adam Vasilev           15    2   17
Fw Takao Soma             16    2   18     Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   18   -1   17
Fw Edgar Jimenez          13    1   14     Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti     12    2   14
Fw Djonno De boer          9    1   10     Fw Hermidio Rivera         9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 13 45 25 60        ROSTER TOTALS      16 16 41 26 59    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 13 55 25 60         T O T A L S       19 16 41 26 59    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.76 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.96 (no second yellow)

Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.97 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.97 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.04 (no red card)

Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.22 (no red card)

Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.47 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.06 (no second yellow)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.75 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.14 (no red card)

Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.64 (no red card)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.2 (no red card)

Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.5 (no second yellow)

Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.47 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.97 (no red card)

Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.31 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.75 (no red card)

Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.19 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.46 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.56 (no red card)

Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.53 (no red card)

Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.83 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.88 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.47 (no injury) 
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.57 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.75 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.29 (no injury) 
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.14 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.55 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.76 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.49 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.83 (no injury) 
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.04 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 8.78 (no injury) 
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.53 (no injury) 
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.12 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.47 (no injury) 
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.19 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.76 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.44 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.64 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.55 (no injury) 
Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.12 (no injury) 
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.17 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  20  13  55  25  60
  Port Vale FC             19  16  41  26  59

Watford Fw Attacks = 19 (60 - 41); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 68.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 10.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 64.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 13.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             19  16  41  26  59
  Watford                  20  13  55  25  60

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 4 (59 - 55); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Santiago Villa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 84.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 0  -  PORT VALE FC 0
 
Match Notes
We had a very even rivalry for 18 seasons, Watford then pulled way ahead, we're coming back of late
John (Port Vale FC) 07/13 - 4:36 PM
 
 
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