Weston's midfield is going to run rings round Swansea today — Alberto Leao pulls the strings and Swansea's lads in the middle just can't live with him. That home advantage is massive too, Weston's groundsman has set this pitch up a treat for their forwards and Sven Skog will feast on it. Swansea will nick a couple but they're coming to the wrong ground on the wrong day.

Weston's forward line is going to feast on a Swansea defence that looks positively porous in behind — that sweeper situation gives me serious concerns about their ability to hold a high line away from home. Add nine points of home advantage and a groundsman who's clearly been told to make the pitch a nightmare for any team trying to play through the thirds, and this becomes a long afternoon for the visitors. Swansea have goals in them, I'll grant that, but conceding four here was always the more likely outcome.