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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison         13    0   13     Gk Eugene Vasilev         10    0   10
Sw DongHyun Young-min      5    2    7     Sw Atsushi Oshima         14    0   14
Df Federico Zanetti       10    0   10     Df Willy Cerfbeer         13    0   13
Df Jason McDiarmid        10    0   10     Df Eugene Goodwin         10    0   10
Df Joshua Partey           8    0    8     Df Patrick LecLercq        5    2    7
Mf Minki Sung-yeung       10    0   10     Mf Isaac Juhlin           14    0   14
Mf Fernando Santo         10    0   10     Mf Thomas Jacobs          10    0   10
Mf Jacques Mefire          8    0    8     Fw Julius Nwosu           13    0   13
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        16    0   16     Fw José Oliveira          10    0   10
Fw Bastien Troussier      13    0   13     Fw Gavin Wright           14    0   14
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko       11    0   11     Fw Mislav Caleta-Car       5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  7 28 28 40        ROSTER TOTALS      10 14 30 24 44    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  8 28 28 40         T O T A L S       10 14 30 24 44    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.24 (no red card)

Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.66 (no second yellow)

Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.82 (no red card)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.24 (no red card)

Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.61 (no second yellow)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.99 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Santo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.1 (no red card)

Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.38 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.31 (no red card)

Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.06 (no red card)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.34 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.64 (no red card)

Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.95 (no red card)

Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.0 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.28 (no red card)

Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.9 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.18 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.21 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.9 (no red card)

Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.57 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.69 (no red card)

Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 5.6 (no injury) 
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.94 (no injury) 
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.24 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.78 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.74 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.61 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Santo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.52 (no injury) 
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.9 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.45 (no injury) 
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.74 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.45 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 52.02 (no injury) 
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.92 (no injury) 
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.4 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.15 (no injury) 
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.54 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.1 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.61 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.05 (no injury) 
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.09 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.2 (no injury) 
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.16 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 10

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Isaac Juhlin SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13   8  28  28  40
  Bristol City FC          10  14  30  24  44

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 10 (40 - 30); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Fernando Santo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Fernando Santo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          10  14  30  24  44
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13   8  28  28  40

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 16 (44 - 28); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 30.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 1.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 62.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 33.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 5.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 54.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 56.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 5.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
This should make for a clean 0-3 start for the 'Gulls.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/07 - 6:38 PM
This group is no picnic for us either. Could go either way.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/10 - 4:33 PM
Ethan Maddison plays the game of his career
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/11 - 2:41 PM
Unreal. Someone doesn't like us.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/11 - 3:26 PM
 
 
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