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Carlisle United
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Xavier Lambert          5    2    7     Gk Finlay Palmer          13    0   13
Sw Cristhian Dybala        9    0    9     Sw Bryn Gough              5    2    7
Df Jamie Aitken           10    0   10     Df John MacDonald         13    0   13
Df Toshihiro Nakamura      5    2    7     Df Bassirou Mbaye         10    0   10
Df Jacob Beynon            2    2    4     Df Nestor Omlin            5    2    7
Mf Ben Ince               13    0   13     Mf Dominic Robinson       12    0   12
Mf Peter Bengtsson        10    0   10     Mf Oscar Bremer            2    2    4
Mf Jacek Frankowski        5    2    7     Fw Charles Sweeney        13    0   13
Mf Marcus Teulet           2    2    4     Fw Luis Calvo             16    0   16
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi       5    2    7     Fw Syam Arfaoui           10    0   10
Fw Javier Gimenez          2    2    4     Fw Si-Won Min-woo          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  9 21 34 11        ROSTER TOTALS      13  7 30 16 46    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  9 21 34 12         T O T A L S       13  7 30 16 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.94 (no red card)

Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.51 (no red card)

Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.13 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.1 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.83 (no red card)

Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.83 (no red card)

Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.01 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.48 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.29 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.16 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.35 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.2 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.92 (no red card)

Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.25 (no second yellow)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.48 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.15 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.35 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.67 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.3 (no red card)

Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.73 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.04 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 10.6 (no injury) 
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.82 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.35 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.75 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.55 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.46 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.57 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.0 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.36 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.9 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.49 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 30.57 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.27 (no injury) 
Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.95 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.72 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.09 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.23 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.67 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.86 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.94 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.04 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.03 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Ince SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 13

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Calvo SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 5

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          7   9  21  34  12
  Plymouth Argyle FC       13   7  30  16  46

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 30)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 9 ((34 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 48.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ben Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Ben Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 20.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Ben Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 92.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Ben Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 65.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       13   7  30  16  46
  Carlisle United          7   9  21  34  12

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 25 (46 - 21); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 6 ((30 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Df Bassirou Mbaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Bassirou Mbaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 53.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Bassirou Mbaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 85.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Nestor Omlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 4.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Bassirou Mbaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Nestor Omlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 23.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 79.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 63.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 9.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 83.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 88.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 1  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 5
 
Match Notes
Plymouth has a slight edge in this historic matchup. We're going to hope to extend that out a bit today.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/27 - 3:59 PM
This was a great bounce back win after the shocking and appalling loss in the first group match.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/30 - 4:35 PM
 
 
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