(N)
Watford
James Tucker
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
AP Cup Group (2)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Riccardo Di matteo 13 0 13 Gk Kurt Östman 13 0 13
Df Walter McGree 10 0 10 Sw Édouard Gning 12 0 12
Df Waldemar Skoras 10 0 10 Df Martin Persson 10 0 10
Df Alain Fauché 7 0 7 Df Laurence Clarke 9 0 9
Df Meliton Martinez 5 2 7 Df Mbaye Dieng 5 2 7
Df Keita Hattori 5 2 7 Mf Johnny Rieder 9 0 9
Mf Federico Machado 10 0 10 Mf Bruno Freda 5 2 7
Mf Hirving Borgetti 8 0 8 Mf Taha Tagnaouti 2 2 4
Mf Callum Rowles 2 2 4 Fw Fredrik Engberg 9 0 9
Fw Claudio Prado 5 2 7 Fw Keiron Chamberlain 5 2 7
Fw Djonno De boer 2 2 4 Fw Ederson Fabinho 2 2 4
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 0 41 22 11 ROSTER TOTALS 13 12 26 20 20
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 7 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
=======================================================================
13 0 48 22 12 T O T A L S 13 15 30 20 20
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.59 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.45 (no red card)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.43 (no red card)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.11 (no red card)
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.47 (no red card)
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.1 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.57 (no red card)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.7 (no red card)
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.9 (no red card)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.33 (no red card)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.36 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.49 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.03 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.14 (no red card)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.89 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.51 (no red card)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.96 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.24 (no red card)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.91 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.64 (no red card)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.42 (no red card)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.43 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.75 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 60.42 (no injury)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.45 (no injury)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.08 (no injury)
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.95 (no injury)
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.54 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.79 (no injury)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.49 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Federico Machado is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Federico Machado new match skill level = 5
Federico Machado new match total level = 5
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.35 (no injury)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.04 (no injury)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.7 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.61 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 32.7 (no injury)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.47 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.4 (no injury)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.88 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.11 (no injury)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.86 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.06 (no injury)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.95 (no injury)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.5 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.96 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.56 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Walter McGree SL 10
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 13
intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Martin Persson SL 10
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 13 0 48 17 12
Nottingham Forest 13 15 30 20 20
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 30)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 20) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 3 ((48 - 20) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 15.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Walter McGree
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 13 15 30 20 20
Watford 13 0 48 17 12
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 48)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((20 - 17) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 3 ((30 - 12) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Martin Persson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 88.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Laurence Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 35.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Johnny Rieder
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 0 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1
Match Notes
I hate playing Watford - 7 games since we scored against them.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 12/28 - 10:47 PM
We would be grateful if this same goal shyness applies here.
James (Watford) 01/04 - 11:51 AM
Wow, 7 straight blanks, that is a good stat to fish out.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 01/04 - 4:06 PM
Nice of James to give my kids a win.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 01/04 - 11:27 PM