Is it time to rename "WALL" as "COMPLAINING WALL"...again?
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Wednesday, June 11th, 2025 - 11:43:06 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 50 // Landing
 
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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Xavier Lambert         11    0   11     Gk Samir Bouaziz          10    0   10
Sw Ramires Jesus          13    0   13     Sw Bradley Perry          13    0   13
Df Jacob Beynon           13    0   13     Df Jaap De wit            13    0   13
Df Eirwyn Davey           10    0   10     Df Joshua Partey          10    0   10
Df Marco Sa                5    2    7     Df Jason McDiarmid         5    2    7
Mf Marcus Teulet          12    0   12     Mf Yuriy Taran            12    0   12
Mf Marco D'amato           5    2    7     Mf Jacques Mefire         10    0   10
Fw Javier Gimenez         14    0   14     Mf Minki Sung-yeung        5    2    7
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek     10    0   10     Fw Bastien Troussier      15    0   15
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi      10    0   10     Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        11    0   11
Fw Salem Bejaoui           6    0    6     Fw Vukmir Kovalenko       10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 13 30 19 40        ROSTER TOTALS      10 13 30 29 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 13 30 19 40         T O T A L S       10 14 30 29 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.94 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.38 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.7 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.32 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.18 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.07 (no red card)

Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.45 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.54 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.84 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.59 (no red card)

Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.63 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.8 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.82 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.34 (no red card)

Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.03 (no red card)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.44 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.77 (no red card)

Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.61 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.42 (no red card)

Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.33 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.9 (no red card)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.62 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 28.44 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.31 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.3 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.95 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.3 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.79 (no injury) 
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.18 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.91 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.47 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.31 (no injury) 
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.12 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 31.06 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.77 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.57 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.87 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.06 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.53 (no injury) 
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.43 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.09 (no injury) 
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.83 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.97 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.14 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Vukmir Kovalenko is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Javier Gimenez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bastien Troussier SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 11

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          11  13  30  19  40
  Brighton & Hove Albion   10  14  30  29  36

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 10 (40 - 30); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 12.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 75.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 82.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 51.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 77.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   10  14  30  29  36
  Carlisle United          11  13  30  19  40

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 6 (36 - 30); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 5 ((29 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 96.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 17.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Jacques Mefire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Vukmir Kovalenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 66.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 3  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2
 
Match Notes
Neutral grounds might see us get one point
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/21 - 5:06 PM
I'd take a point from what looks like a tough fixture.
Dave (Carlisle United) 05/23 - 1:46 AM
Our second win, but the first somewhat fortuitous one of the season. We may be needing a few more like this.
Dave (Carlisle United) 05/25 - 11:32 PM
It's terrible that this is as close as we got to a win.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/26 - 4:05 PM
 
 
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