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Wednesday, June 11th, 2025 - 09:24:51 AM (gmt)
 
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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
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Paul Cockayne
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     SHEFFIELD UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Samir Bouaziz          10    0   10     Gk Miljenko Sucic          5    2    7
Sw Théo Billard            7    0    7     Sw Raichi Nakamura         2    2    4
Df Óscar Cespedes          9    0    9     Df Mbo Denis              11    0   11
Df Jason McDiarmid         5    2    7     Df Abdou Mballo           10    0   10
Df Nick Jacobs             2    2    4     Df Nana Inkoom             8    0    8
Mf William Gomez           8    0    8     Df Ivan Rakitic            5    2    7
Mf Minki Sung-yeung        5    2    7     Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez13    0   13
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye          2    2    4     Mf Darren Sterling        10    0   10
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        11    0   11     Mf Lee Jin-hyeon          11    0   11
Fw Elias Mayer             5    2    7     Fw Davinson Garcia         9    0    9
Fw Ji-Hun Min              2    2    4     Fw Lilian Mendy            8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  7 20 19 22        ROSTER TOTALS       7  4 36 34 17    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  8 20 19 22         T O T A L S        7  4 36 34 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.88 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.65 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.45 (no red card)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.9 (no red card)

Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.05 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.76 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.17 (no red card)

Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.96 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.07 (no second yellow)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.18 (no red card)

Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.82 (no red card)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.47 (no red card)

Sw Raichi Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.52 (no red card)

Df Mbo Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.67 (no red card)

Df Abdou Mballo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.73 (no red card)

Df Nana Inkoom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.83 (no red card)

Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.66 (no red card)

Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.41 (no red card)

Mf Darren Sterling: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.19 (no red card)

Mf Lee Jin-hyeon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.47 (no red card)

Fw Davinson Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.47 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Mendy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 84.1 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.43 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.8 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.89 (no injury) 
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Nick Jacobs is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Nick Jacobs new match skill level =  1
      Nick Jacobs new match total level =  3
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.44 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.31 (no injury) 
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.87 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.53 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.23 (no injury) 
Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.46 (no injury) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 96.18 (no injury) 
Sw Raichi Nakamura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.31 (no injury) 
Df Mbo Denis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.25 (no injury) 
Df Abdou Mballo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.96 (no injury) 
Df Nana Inkoom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.66 (no injury) 
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.73 (no injury) 
Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.54 (no injury) 
Mf Darren Sterling: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.52 (no injury) 
Mf Lee Jin-hyeon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.96 (no injury) 
Fw Davinson Garcia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.66 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Mendy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.84 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Miljenko Sucic SL 5

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sebastian Bulla Vasquez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   10   8  19  19  22
  Sheffield United         7   4  36  34  17

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 36)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 1 ((19 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         7   4  36  34  17
  Brighton & Hove Albion   10   8  19  19  22

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 19)
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 8 ((34 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 5 ((36 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Abdou Mballo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 71.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Abdou Mballo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 95.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Mbo Denis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Nana Inkoom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 28.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Mbo Denis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Lee Jin-hyeon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Darren Sterling
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 94.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Sebastian Bulla Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 42.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  SHEFFIELD UNITED 3
 
Match Notes
I fear we may lose all three in session 1...
Paul (Sheffield United) 05/19 - 5:57 AM
"I fear we may lose all three in session 1..."

Paul, that is not feasible. OLMEC has preordained that Brighton will lose all three in session 1. Best of luck with your other two though!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/21 - 5:33 PM
Paul is setting low expectations methinks...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/22 - 1:08 AM
Expectations not quite as high as achievements this session...
Paul (Sheffield United) 05/25 - 8:39 PM
 
 
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