(N)
Watford
James Tucker
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
AP Cup Group (2)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD CARDIFF CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Riccardo Di matteo 10 0 10 Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos 10 0 10
Sw Nico Lehmann 5 2 7 Sw David Lemaigre 11 0 11
Df Keita Hattori 13 0 13 Df Gregory Robinson 13 0 13
Df Walter McGree 10 0 10 Df Nick Jacobs 5 2 7
Df Florian Ramelow 8 0 8 Mf Artur Zalewski 15 0 15
Df Oskar Qvist 5 2 7 Mf Jeong Yong 9 0 9
Df José Mendes 2 2 4 Fw Héctor Vasquez 13 0 13
Mf Kevin Castex 16 0 16 Fw Leonardo Alonso 10 0 10
Mf Callum Rowles 10 0 10 Fw Fabrice Ndi 10 0 10
Fw Edgar Jimenez 9 0 9 Fw Libardo Uribe 10 0 10
Fw Trefor Lloyd 2 2 4 Fw Gaëtan Chair 10 0 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
10 7 42 26 13 ROSTER TOTALS 10 11 20 24 53
0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 7 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
10 7 50 26 13 T O T A L S 10 11 20 24 53
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.61 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.85 (no red card)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.64 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.93 (no second yellow)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.53 (no red card)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.08 (no red card)
Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.45 (no red card)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.21 (no red card)
Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.92 (no red card)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.52 (no red card)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.46 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.31 (no red card)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.05 (no red card)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.59 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.83 (no red card)
Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.95 (no red card)
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.99 (no red card)
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.53 (no red card)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.39 (no red card)
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.21 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.34 (no second yellow)
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.25 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.01 (no red card)
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.62 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Fabrice Ndi new match skill level = 5
Fabrice Ndi new match total level = 5
Fw Libardo Uribe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.27 (no red card)
Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 25.51 (no injury)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.46 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.47 (no injury)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.43 (no injury)
Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.41 (no injury)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.94 (no injury)
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.56 (no injury)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.54 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Kevin Castex is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.02 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.46 (no injury)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.16 (no injury)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 71.1 (no injury)
Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.5 (no injury)
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.13 (no injury)
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.52 (no injury)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.17 (no injury)
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.15 (no injury)
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.23 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.76 (no injury)
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.76 (no injury)
Fw Libardo Uribe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.36 (no injury)
Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.94 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Kevin Castex SL 16
- Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 10
intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Artur Zalewski SL 15
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 40 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 10 7 50 26 13
Cardiff City FC 10 11 20 24 48
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 20)
Watford Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 1 ((50 - 48) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Walter McGree
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 49.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Kevin Castex
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Cardiff City FC 10 11 20 24 48
Watford 10 7 50 26 13
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (48 - 50)
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((20 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Df Gregory Robinson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 92.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Gregory Robinson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Nick Jacobs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 89.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 0 - CARDIFF CITY FC 3
Match Notes
Another tough one.
James (Watford) 01/10 - 1:33 PM
In the very unlucky column! 3-0 is very harsh!
James (Watford) 01/12 - 10:52 AM