(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
FA Cup Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARLISLE UNITED DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Dara Hays 13 0 13 Gk Alex M'Boma 2 2 4 Sw Lewis Russell 11 0 11 Sw Ciriaco Lang 5 2 7 Df Owen Sansom 12 0 12 Df Alex Brennan 10 0 10 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 10 0 10 Df Cristóbal Sanchez 5 2 7 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 5 2 7 Df Marcel Pechet 2 2 4 Mf Julius Sæther 9 0 9 Mf Erik Schlotterbeck 10 0 10 Mf Jacek Frankowski 5 2 7 Mf Tony Gueye 5 2 7 Fw Noah Zimmermann 15 0 15 Mf Gareth Smith 2 2 4 Fw Ellis Dury 11 0 11 Fw Connor Carroll 10 0 10 Fw Salem Bejaoui 9 0 9 Fw José Borges 5 2 7 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 5 2 7 Fw Clement Kenne 2 2 4 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 13 11 29 16 42 ROSTER TOTALS 4 7 21 21 21 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 13 11 29 24 43 T O T A L S 4 7 21 21 21 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.8 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.98 (no red card) Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.38 (no red card) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.7 (no red card) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.42 (no red card) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.18 (no red card) Mf Julius Sæther: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.91 (no red card) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.56 (no red card) Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.69 (no red card) Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.64 (no red card) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.47 (no red card) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.41 (no red card) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.58 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.42 (no red card) Sw Ciriaco Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.0 (no red card) Df Alex Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.97 (no red card) Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.91 (no red card) Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.41 (no red card) Mf Erik Schlotterbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.92 (no red card) Mf Tony Gueye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.44 (no red card) Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.33 (no red card) Fw Connor Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.93 (no red card) Fw José Borges: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.42 (no red card) Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.12 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.5 (no injury) Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.98 (no injury) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.51 (no injury) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.94 (no injury) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.27 (no injury) Mf Julius Sæther: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.72 (no injury) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.51 (no injury) Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.26 (no injury) Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.49 (no injury) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.83 (no injury) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.73 (no injury) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.63 (no injury) Sw Ciriaco Lang: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.51 (no injury) Df Alex Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.9 (no injury) Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.7 (no injury) Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.25 (no injury) Mf Erik Schlotterbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.03 (no injury) Mf Tony Gueye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.49 (no injury) Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.09 (no injury) Fw Connor Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.41 (no injury) Fw José Borges: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.02 (no injury) Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.28 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 15 - Defending Gk: Alex M'Boma SL 2 intRndPk = 95 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Alex Brennan SL 10 - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13 intRndPk = 97 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 13 11 29 24 43 Dagenham & Redbridge 4 7 21 21 21 Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 22 (43 - 21); result rounded up Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Carlisle United Df Attacks = 3 ((29 - 21) / 3); result rounded up Carlisle United Total Attacks = 27 1: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 59.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Mf Julius Sæther Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 29.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 46.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 18.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 69.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 93.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 13: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 12.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 94.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 78.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 20: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 55 (Shot Off Target) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Dagenham & Redbridge 4 7 21 21 21 Carlisle United 13 11 29 24 43 Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 29) Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2; rounded up) Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 43) / 3; rounded up) Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARLISLE UNITED 5 - DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 0