(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
FA Cup Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn 11 0 11 Gk Ian Valle 5 2 7
Sw Ludwig Süle 11 0 11 Df Magnus Waering 10 0 10
Df Ibrahim Aggrey 14 0 14 Df Ricardo Vogado 10 0 10
Df Walter Hamisu 14 0 14 Df Jack Nabbout 9 0 9
Df Joan Hierro 10 0 10 Df Gavin Jordan 2 2 4
Mf Kazuo Kawashima 10 0 10 Mf Ivan Jackson 10 0 10
Mf Carlos Nuñez 5 2 7 Mf Mario Pletikosa 9 0 9
Fw Geovanny Arley 13 0 13 Mf Pieter Witsel 2 2 4
Fw Martyn Palmer 12 0 12 Fw Bassem Mkademi 13 0 13
Fw Gustavo da Rocha 10 0 10 Fw Olivier Havet 10 0 10
Fw Fabrice Thabet 5 2 7 Fw Kalle Ljungberg 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
11 11 38 17 42 ROSTER TOTALS 7 0 33 23 30
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
11 11 38 17 51 T O T A L S 7 0 33 23 30
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.36 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.41 (no red card)
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.17 (no red card)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.15 (no red card)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.53 (no red card)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.68 (no red card)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.03 (no red card)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.34 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.37 (no red card)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.38 (no red card)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.74 (no red card)
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.37 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ian Valle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.99 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.86 (no red card)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.81 (no red card)
Df Ricardo Vogado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.52 (no red card)
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.58 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Jack Nabbout new match skill level = 5
Jack Nabbout new match total level = 5
Df Gavin Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.86 (no red card)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.44 (no red card)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.59 (no red card)
Mf Pieter Witsel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.43 (no red card)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.01 (no red card)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.97 (no red card)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 93.04 (no injury)
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.11 (no injury)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.54 (no injury)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.55 (no injury)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.09 (no injury)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.62 (no injury)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.63 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.69 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Geovanny Arley is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Geovanny Arley new match skill level = 7
Geovanny Arley new match total level = 7
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.74 (no injury)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.54 (no injury)
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.37 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ian Valle: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.68 (no injury)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.08 (no injury)
Df Ricardo Vogado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.04 (no injury)
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.2 (no injury)
Df Gavin Jordan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.92 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.95 (no injury)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.37 (no injury)
Mf Pieter Witsel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.9 (no injury)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.77 (no injury)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.63 (no injury)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.42 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ibrahim Aggrey SL 14
- Defending Gk: Ian Valle SL 5
intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Bassem Mkademi SL 13
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 11
intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 11 11 38 17 45
Crewe Alexandra FC 7 0 29 23 30
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 16 (45 - 29); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 3 ((38 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 54.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 20.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Joan Hierro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 41.89 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Fabrice Thabet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 97.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Fabrice Thabet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 92.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 37.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 61.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 69.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Fabrice Thabet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 89.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 9.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 13.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 7 0 29 23 30
Preston North End FC 11 11 38 17 45
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 38)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((23 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 45) / 5; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 46.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 5 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
Match Notes
Olmec Ray, do you care to comment on the state of PNE's GK situation?
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/07 - 12:31 PM
Is this a must win game for Ian? Can Carl pull off the road upset? Exciting times...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/09 - 2:04 PM
Dave please don't provoke Olmec Head Ray
Ian (Preston North End FC) 05/09 - 5:59 PM
Not an unexpected spanking
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/10 - 8:33 AM