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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finn Lehmann           12    1   13     Gk Toby Barmby            15    2   17
Sw Bryan Wilkins          12    0   12     Sw Kylian Konate          12    2   14
Df William Baker          13    1   14     Df Hakim Aguerd           10    2   12
Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug    16    1   17     Df Joaquin  Mora          10    2   12
Df Hans Murphy             6    2    8     Mf Amdy Diedhiou          10    2   12
Mf Weston Williamson      11    1   12     Mf Dennis Lindsay         10    2   12
Mf Seo Tae-uk             11    1   12     Fw Fabian Weber           13    1   14
Mf Aliou Sow               6    2    8     Fw Ilarion Novykov        11    2   13
Fw Jay Hanny              14    2   16     Fw Paul Chaffersey        14    0   14
Fw Marcel M'Boma          12    2   14     Fw Nikica Butina           8    2   10
Fw Sérgio da Rocha        11    2   13     Fw Mats Göthberg           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 12 39 32 43        ROSTER TOTALS      17 14 24 24 59    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 12 39 37 47         T O T A L S       17 14 24 24 59    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finn Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.41 (no red card)

Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.1 (no red card)

Df William Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.39 (no red card)

Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.24 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.94 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.41 (no red card)

Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.45 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.56 (no red card)

Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.59 (no red card)

Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.98 (no red card)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.59 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.43 (no red card)

Sw Kylian Konate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.03 (no red card)

Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.91 (no red card)

Df Joaquin  Mora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.64 (no red card)

Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.71 (no red card)

Mf Dennis Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.04 (no red card)

Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.42 (no red card)

Fw Ilarion Novykov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.19 (no red card)

Fw Paul Chaffersey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.08 (no second yellow)

Fw Nikica Butina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.48 (no red card)

Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.02 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Finn Lehmann: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 36.88 (no injury) 
Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.77 (no injury) 
Df William Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.34 (no injury) 
Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.7 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.85 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.49 (no injury) 
Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.24 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.76 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.17 (no injury) 
Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.38 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.77 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.82 (no injury) 
Sw Kylian Konate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.05 (no injury) 
Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.04 (no injury) 
Df Joaquin  Mora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.63 (no injury) 
Mf Amdy Diedhiou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.46 (no injury) 
Mf Dennis Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.12 (no injury) 
Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.3 (no injury) 
Fw Ilarion Novykov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.68 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Chaffersey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.44 (no injury) 
Fw Nikica Butina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.3 (no injury) 
Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jun-Yeong Chong-gug SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 15

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Chaffersey SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Finn Lehmann SL 12

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          13  12  39  37  47
  Queens Park Rangers      17  14  24  24  59

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 23 (47 - 24); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((37 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 30

1: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Seo Tae-uk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Seo Tae-uk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 83.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      17  14  24  24  59
  Lincoln City FC          13  12  39  37  47

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 20 (59 - 39); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Ilarion Novykov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 90.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Nikica Butina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Mats Göthberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 52.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Ilarion Novykov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 64.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Nikica Butina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Nikica Butina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Nikica Butina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Nikica Butina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 59.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 3  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1
 
Match Notes
Every time we beat James feels like we snuck one, happy to win at home here.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 02/10 - 7:23 PM
 
 
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