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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison         12    0   12     Gk Artyom Szczesny        11    2   13
Sw DongHyun Young-min     11    1   12     Sw Walter Wilson          12    0   12
Df Matheus Robinho        13    1   14     Df Edoardo Vecchi         12    0   12
Df Jason McDiarmid        13    2   15     Df Gabriele Gentiloni     10    1   11
Df Federico Zanetti       13    1   14     Df Daire Murray            9    0    9
Mf Renato Ortega          12    0   12     Df Sakariya Hedman         7    1    8
Mf Minki Sung-yeung       10    0   10     Mf Clint Smith            16    0   16
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        18    1   19     Mf Felipe Fernandez       11    2   13
Fw Elias Mayer            13    0   13     Mf Tranquillo Fernandes    9    0    9
Fw Albert Blanco          10    1   11     Mf Wayne Brees             8    0    8
Fw Ji-Hun Min             10    2   12     Fw Anir Tahiri            13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 12 43 22 55        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 40 46 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 12 43 22 64         T O T A L S       13 12 40 46 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.6 (no red card)

Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.76 (no red card)

Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.3 (no red card)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.2 (no red card)

Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.5 (no red card)

Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.2 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.16 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.42 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.53 (no red card)

Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.75 (no red card)

Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.96 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.61 (no red card)

Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.94 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.44 (no second yellow)

Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.68 (no red card)

Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.87 (no red card)

Df Daire Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.78 (no red card)

Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.64 (no red card)

Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.89 (no second yellow)

Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.3 (no red card)

Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.55 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.88 (no red card)

Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 52.26 (no injury) 
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.67 (no injury) 
Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.46 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.9 (no injury) 
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.31 (no injury) 
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.31 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.11 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.97 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.46 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.17 (no injury) 
Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.88 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.28 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.04 (no injury) 
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.69 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.57 (no injury) 
Df Daire Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.24 (no injury) 
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.24 (no injury) 
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.08 (no injury) 
Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.19 (no injury) 
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.89 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.89 (no injury) 
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Artyom Szczesny SL 11

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Clint Smith SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 12

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   12  12  43  22  64
  Northampton Town FC      13  12  40  46  16

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 24 (64 - 40); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 46) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 9 ((43 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Df Matheus Robinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 31.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Matheus Robinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jason McDiarmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 0.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Federico Zanetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Federico Zanetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Jason McDiarmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Federico Zanetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Jason McDiarmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Jason McDiarmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 41.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 23.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 69.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 36.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 33.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 56.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      13  12  40  46  16
  Brighton & Hove Albion   12  12  43  22  64

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 43)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((46 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Wayne Brees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Wayne Brees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 94.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Felipe Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Northampton going down there with nowt to lose. That's when lower league sides bite. Don't sleep on em Brighton.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/09 - 2:45 PM  
Beerman has seven finals in this competition. Compo thinks the software is conspiring against him. One of these men is probably right.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/15 - 12:02 AM  
funny to see the Heads try and big up Northampton´s chances. If they could not win at home then their chances away will depend on a miracle.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/15 - 2:41 PM  
Beerman finally cracks Northampton. Compo won't like that — probably blaming the software already. B-Squared, savour it mate, cup run's alive.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/16 - 6:30 PM  
I’ll take it; a win is a win. Til next year Compo.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/16 - 9:32 PM  
 
 
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